Match Info

King Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday

Location: Al-Hazem Club Stadium (Ar Rass)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports


	Al-Kholood		Al-Najma

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.35	3.35
	1.97	3.34	3.66
	1.94	3.2	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.06)	3.3 ↑ (2.82)	3.62 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Kholood
46.9%

Draw
27.8%

Al-Najma
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

32.7%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

32.3%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Kholood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Al-Najma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Kholood than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Al Kholood - Al Najma Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Kholood (votes: 3 - 60%). Al-Najma (votes: 2 - 40%).

Users Predictions: Al-Kholood will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cozzani J. (G) 8. Al Safari A. 5. Troost-Ekong W. 23. Gyomber N. 38. Pinas S. 6. Buckley J. 96. N'Doram K. 39. Al Dawsari A. 11. Bahebri H. 18. Enrique R. 9. Maolida M.	1. Victor Braga (G) 3. Samir Caetano (C) 4. Al Haleel N. 19. Al Abdulraziq F. 2. Vitao 18. Al Harabi A. 20. Flores D. 8. Al Shammeri A. 10. Al Mutairi F. 7. Lazaro 9. Quioto R.
Substitutes
46. Al Aliwa A. S. 12. Al Asmari H. 4. Al Dosari J. 30. Al Shammari M. (G) 7. Al Shehri S. 48. Al Yahya M. (G) 99. Guga 24. Hussein U. 19. Khalifah M. 70. Sawan M.	87. Al Enezi W. (G) 24. Al Hawsawi A. 50. Al Hawsawi N. 15. Al Najjar A. 55. Al Nakhli A. 23. Al Tulayhi R. 98. Boutobba B. 14. Jasim A. 44. Prekodravac M.
Coaches
Buckingham D.	Silva M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Buckley J. 🟨,
45', Al Abdulraziq F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Al Mutairi F. ↓, Al Hawsawi A. ↑,
46', Al Abdulraziq F. ↓, Boutobba B. ↑,
67', Bahebri H. ↓, Al Aliwa A. S. ↑,
75', Al Haleel N. 🟨,
76', Al Dawsari A. ↓, Sawan M. ↑,
80', Lazaro ↓, Jasim A. ↑,
82', Quioto R. 🟨,
82', Flores D. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
99', 1 - 0, Enrique R. ⚽,

Preview

Al-Kholood is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al-Najma is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Al-Najma has had a series of home games.

Al-Kholood could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Al-Kholood will win today's game, with odds of 1.93.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Kholood won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Kholood won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Kholood Club
Saudi Professional League
23.10.25	Al-Riyadh - Al-Kholood	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Najma	5:1 ✺
25.09.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Kholood	1:2 ✺
Saudi King Cup
22.09.25	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Kholood	1:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
18.09.25	Al-Kholood - Damac	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LWWWW
- Al-Najma Unaizah
Saudi Professional League
23.10.25	Al-Najma - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Najma	5:1 ✺
27.09.25	Al-Najma - Al-Feiha	1:2 ✺
Saudi King Cup
23.09.25	Al-Najma - Damac	2:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
20.09.25	Al-Najma - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
17.10.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Najma	5:1
Saudi Division 1
31.01.24	Al-Najma - Al-Kholood	0:1
20.08.23	Al-Kholood - Al-Najma	2:2

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