Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 8

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium (Dammam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Qadisiya		Al-Kholood

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	4.75
	1.52	4.45	5.15
	1.51	4.51	5.67
	1.36	4.86	7.05	Watch
	1.46	4.3	5.48
	1.4	4.5	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.36)	4.52 ↓ (4.86)	5.73 ↓ (7.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al-Qadisiya
63.4%

Draw
20.5%

Al-Kholood
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

19%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

18%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qadisiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Al-Kholood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Qadisiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Kholood than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Al Qadisiya - Al Kholood Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Al-Kholood will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Kholood (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Casteels K. (G) 2. Abu Al Shamat M. 6. Fernandez N. (C) 17. Alvarez G. 12. Al Shahrani Y. 8. Nandez N. 5. Weigl J. 25. Otavio 22. Bonsu Baah C. 32. Retegui M. 10. Al Juwayr M.	31. Cozzani J. (G) 8. Al Safari A. 5. Troost-Ekong W. (C) 23. Gyomber N. 38. Pinas S. 46. Al Aliwa A. S. 6. Buckley J. 96. N'Doram K. 70. Sawan M. 18. Enrique R. 9. Maolida M.
Substitutes
7. Al Ammar T. 15. Al Qahtani H. 9. Al Salem A. 71. Al Thani M. 11. Hazazi A. A. 87. Lajami Q. 40. Mahnashi I. 50. Sunyur M. (G) 4. Thakri J.	39. Al Dawsari A. 4. Al Dosari J. 30. Al Shammari M. (G) 7. Al Shehri S. 48. Al Yahya M. (G) 11. Bahebri H. 24. Hussein U. 19. Khalifah M. 15. Solan R.
Coaches
Gonzalez J. M.	Buckingham D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Retegui M. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
58', Sawan M. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Al Juwayr M. ⚽,
65', 3 - 0, Nandez N. ⚽,
68', 4 - 0, Retegui M. ⚽, Weigl J. (A),
69', Al Aliwa A. S. ↓, Bahebri H. ↑,
69', Alvarez G. ↓, Thakri J. ↑,
71', Enrique R. 🟨,
74', Al Shahrani Y. ↓, Mahnashi I. ↑,
74', Nandez N. ↓, Hazazi A. A. ↑,
77', Al Safari A. ↓, Al Shehri S. ↑,
77', N'Doram K. ↓, Al Dosari J. ↑,
79', Bonsu Baah C. ↓, Al Ammar T. ↑,
79', Retegui M. ↓, Al Salem A. ↑,
90', Enrique R. ↓, Khalifah M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Qadisiya won 5.

Al-Qadisiya is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al-Kholood's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Al-Qadisiya is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Qadisiya won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Qadisiya won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League
01.11.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Qadisiya	2:0 ✺
Saudi King Cup
28.10.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al Hazem	3:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
25.10.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al Akhdoud	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Neom - Al-Qadisiya	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Al Fateh - Al-Qadisiya	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTWW
- Al-Kholood Club
Saudi Professional League
30.10.25	Al-Kholood - Neom	2:3 ✺
Saudi King Cup
27.10.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Najma	1:0 ET ✺
Saudi Professional League
23.10.25	Al-Riyadh - Al-Kholood	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Najma	5:1 ✺
25.09.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Kholood	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
02.05.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Kholood	4:1
06.12.24	Al-Kholood - Al-Qadisiya	0:3
Saudi Division 1
09.03.24	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Kholood	2:0
25.10.23	Al-Kholood - Al-Qadisiya	0:2
02.05.23	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Kholood	1:0
20.12.22	Al-Kholood - Al-Qadisiya	2:0
23.02.22	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Kholood	1:0

Upcoming Matches