Match Info

QATAR: QSL - Round 5

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Al Khor Stadium (Al Khor)

Referee: Al Obaidly M. ()

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD


	Al-Khor		Al-Shamal

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.1
	2.95	3.5	2.2
	3.06	3.55	2.27
	2.99	3.49	2.25	Watch
	2.88	3.5	2.1
	2.97	3.56	2.17	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.4)	3.5 ↓ (3.7)	2.18 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Khor
31.4%

Draw
26.4%

Al-Shamal
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

25.2%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

24.7%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Khor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Khor's form might have worsened.

Al-Shamal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Shamal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Khor than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Khor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Shamal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Al Khor - Al Shamal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Shamal will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kone A. (G) 77. Juma A. 35. Semedo R. 5. Rhaili A. 15. Mubarak N. 20. Al Mohanadi A. 6. Saei A. 88. Mutasem M. 17. Hazaa A. 11. Boli Y. 94. Hanni S.	95. Seck B. (G) 3. El Hannach Y. 17. Musa M. 24. Murillo J. 23. Al Naimi M. 16. Mohammed A. 44. Al Mejaba M. 7. Mohamed O. 6. Ebrahimi O. 10. Belhanda Y. 11. Bounedjah B.
Substitutes
33. Al Ali A. I. M. H. 7. Al Mohanadi S. 18. Al Muhannadi E. 13. Atiq S. 12. Kala I. 2. Karib K. 1. Mahmoud A. (G) 8. Said F. 27. Yahia J. 21. Zaghbani A.	22. Al Dokali S. 8. Ali T. 12. Al Mannai M. N. 15. Al Mehairi J. 9. Al Nasr N. 2. Awad M. 19. Azadi F. 30. Barry O. (G) 45. El Rady A. (G) 20. Gannan S. 33. Hagana A. 47. Waad F.
Coaches
Mubarak A.	Almeida N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Bounedjah B. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Hanni S. (Pen),
30', Belhanda Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Al Mohanadi A. ↓, Kala I. ↑,
60', Mutasem M. ↓, Yahia J. ↑,
61', Hazaa A. ↓, Al Ali A. I. M. H. ↑,
76', Mubarak N. ↓, Atiq S. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Mohamed O. ⚽, Bounedjah B. (A),
84', Mohammed A. ↓, Al Mannai M. N. ↑,
84', Al Mejaba M. ↓, Waad F. ↑,
86', Mohamed O. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
88', Saei A. ↓, Al Mohanadi S. ↑,
90+3', Belhanda Y. ↓, Al Nasr N. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Khor won 1.

Al-Khor is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Al-Shamal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Khor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Al-Khor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Khor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Khor SC
Qatar QSL
14.09.24	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Khor	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
06.09.24	Al-Khor - Umm-Salal	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Al-Wakrah - Al-Khor	5:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
23.08.24	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Khor	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Al-Khor - Al-Shahania	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLLT
- Al-Shamal SC
Qatar QSL
13.09.24	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
31.08.24	Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal	1:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
22.08.24	Al-Shamal - Qatar SC	0:1 ✺
16.08.24	Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal	3:2 ✺
10.08.24	Al-Shamal - Al-Sadd	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QFA Cup
15.09.23	Al-Shamal - Al-Khor	0:4
Qatar QSL 2
14.05.23	Al-Shamal - Al-Khor	2:1
Qatar QSL
20.02.22	Al-Khor - Al-Shamal	0:1
30.10.21	Al-Shamal - Al-Khor	4:0
15.03.15	Al-Shamal - Al-Khor	1:0
25.10.14	Al-Khor - Al-Shamal	1:0

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