Match Info

QSL - Round 9

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Thani bin Jassim Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA
Qatar	Al Kass Three, Shoof


	Umm-Salal		Al-Shamal

	1	X	2
	4.55	4.45	1.55
	3.68	3.97	1.81	Watch
	4.26	4.32	1.66	Watch
	3.85	3.85	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (3.68)	4.15 ↑ (3.97)	1.69 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umm-Salal
22.7%

Draw
22.4%

Al-Shamal
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

23.4%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

22.9%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umm-Salal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Al-Shamal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Umm Salal - Al Shamal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mohammad J. (G) 2. Fayez A. 26. Dayo I. 19. Laidouni N. 22. Udosen E. 6. Aholou J. 5. Said F. 20. Afif A. 14. Tannane O. (C) 33. Cristo 9. Mance A.	95. Seck B. (G) 70. Khoder M. 81. Bounacer A. 4. Termanini M. 2. Awad M. 6. Ebrahimi O. 72. Tawfik A. 8. Collado A. 12. Al Mannai M. 5. Sliti N. 11. Bounedjah B. (C)
Substitutes
12. Al Bahnasawi W. 95. Al Saadi A. 13. Ashour L. (G) 32. El Sayed A. 27. Haroon D. 4. Issa S. 17. Kouassi J. E. 21. Saad K. 18. Sheikh A. 15. Tahif A. 80. Wadi M.	14. Ali O. 78. Al Saeed A. 18. Al Sulimane A. 19. Azadi F. 10. Belhanda Y. 3. El Hannach Y. 32. Majed I. 1. Mohammed A. (G) 24. Murillo J. 22. Musa M. 9. Qaderi A. 17. Seyam T.
Coaches
Carteron P.	Prats D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Collado A. ⚽, Tawfik A. (A),
18', 0 - 2, Dayo I. (Own goal),
38', 0 - 3, Bounedjah B. ⚽, Collado A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Said F. ↓, El Sayed A. ↑,
54', 0 - 4, Collado A. ⚽,
64', El Sayed A. 🟨,
67', Afif A. ↓, Haroon D. ↑,
67', Mance A. ↓, Kouassi J. E. ↑,
67', Laidouni N. ↓, Wadi M. ↑,
73', Collado A. ↓, Al Sulimane A. ↑,
73', Al Mannai M. ↓, Belhanda Y. ↑,
73', Ebrahimi O. ↓, El Hannach Y. ↑,
80', Khoder M. ↓, Seyam T. ↑,
84', Termanini M. ↓, Majed I. ↑,
86', Awad M. 🟨,
88', Haroon D. 🟥,
90', 0 - 5, Awad M. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Umm-Salal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Shamal is the team to beat.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:25. (average 2.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Umm-Salal won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 2.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umm-Salal SC
Qatar QSL Cup
29.10.25	Umm-Salal - Muaither	2:3 ✺
Qatar QSL
26.10.25	Qatar SC - Umm-Salal	2:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
19.10.25	Al-Sadd - Umm-Salal	0:5 ✺
04.10.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Sailiya	3:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
26.09.25	Al-Wakrah - Umm-Salal	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLWWL
- Al-Shamal SC
Qatar QSL Cup
27.10.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal	0:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
25.10.25	Al Duhail - Al-Shamal	2:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
18.10.25	Al-Shamal - Al-Markhiya	5:0 ✺
03.10.25	Al-Shamal - Al Bidda	3:3 ✺
Qatar QSL
27.09.25	Qatar SC - Al-Shamal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL Cup
03.09.25	Al-Shamal - Umm-Salal	1:3
Qatar Emir Cup
13.05.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal	2:1 penalties
Qatar QSL
24.01.25	Al-Shamal - Umm-Salal	4:0
Qatar QSL Cup
31.08.24	Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal	1:2
Qatar QSL
16.08.24	Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal	3:2
05.03.24	Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal	3:4
Qatar QSL Cup
27.12.23	Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal	2:0

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