Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Al-Mabarrah		Jwaya

	1	X	2
	5.7	3.25	1.58	Watch
	7.54	2.63	1.76	Watch
	5.5	3.1	1.6
	5.68	3.41	1.67
	5.2	3.35	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.92 ↑ (5.2)	3.15 ↓ (3.35)	1.65 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al-Mabarrah
15.5%

Draw
29.1%

Jwaya
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

27.1%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

25.5%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Mabarrah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Jwaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Mabarrah than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jwaya than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Al Mabarrah - Jwaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Watfa K. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
73', 0 - 1, Badamassi O. ⚽,
90+4', 0 - 2, Awada H. ⚽, Bazzi H. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4).

Al-Mabarrah is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jwaya's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Jwaya is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Mabarrah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Jwayya	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Mabarrah
Lebanese Premier League
15.02.26	Al-Mabarrah - Al-Ahed	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Al-Abbassieh - Al-Mabarrah	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Al-Mabarrah - Shabab Al Sahel	1:0 ✺
Lebanese Cup
17.01.26	Hekmeh - Al-Mabarrah	2:1 penalties ✺
Lebanese Premier League
25.12.25	Al-Mabarrah - Al-Safa Beyrut	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.8 WTWLW
- Jwaya SC
Lebanese Premier League
15.02.26	Racing Beirut - Jwaya	0:4 ✺
Lebanese Cup
11.02.26	Nejmeh - Jwaya	2:1 penalties ✺
Lebanese Premier League
06.02.26	Jwaya - Al-Ahed	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Jwaya - Al-Abbassieh	0:0 ✺
Lebanese Cup
17.01.26	Jwaya - Al-Safa Beyrut	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
25.10.25	Jwaya - Al-Mabarrah	2:0

Al-Mabarrah - Jwaya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide