Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Al-Mabarrah		Al-Ahed

	1	X	2
	6.7	3.85	1.43	Watch
	6.36	3.92	1.44
	6.72	3.99	1.45	Watch
	7	3.5	1.44
	7.43	3.82	1.42
	6	4	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.7 ↑ (6.6)	3.85 ↓ (4.1)	1.44 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Mabarrah
13.5%

Draw
23.5%

Al-Ahed
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

22.3%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

21.6%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Mabarrah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Al-Ahed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Mabarrah than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahed than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Al Mabarrah - Al Ahed Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Siblini M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Al-Mabarrah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Ahed is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Mabarrah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ahed	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Mabarrah
Lebanese Premier League
07.02.26	Al-Abbassieh - Al-Mabarrah	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Al-Mabarrah - Shabab Al Sahel	1:0 ✺
Lebanese Cup
17.01.26	Hekmeh - Al-Mabarrah	2:1 penalties ✺
Lebanese Premier League
25.12.25	Al-Mabarrah - Al-Safa Beyrut	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Al-Ansar Beirut - Al-Mabarrah	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWLWL
- Al-Ahed SC
Lebanese Cup
11.02.26	Al-Ahed - Hekmeh	0:1 penalties ✺
Lebanese Premier League
06.02.26	Jwaya - Al-Ahed	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Racing Beirut - Al-Ahed	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Al-Ahed - Al-Abbassieh	0:1 ✺
Lebanese Cup
18.01.26	Al-Ahed - Tadamon Sour	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
17.10.25	Al-Ahed - Al-Mabarrah	2:0

Al-Mabarrah - Al-Ahed: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide