Match Info

QATAR: QSL - ROUND 6

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday


	Al-Markhiya		Al-Shamal

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	2.87
	2.2	3.6	2.9	Watch
	2.88	3.65	2.35
	2.19	3.94	2.99
	2.1	3.5	2.88
	2.11	3.74	2.94	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.64)	3.6 ↑ (3.49)	2.85 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Markhiya
41.6%

Draw
25.8%

Al-Shamal
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

26.7%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.9%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Markhiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Markhiya's performance.

Al-Shamal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Shamal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Markhiya than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Markhiya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Shamal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Markhiya - Al Shamal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ashour L. (G) 28. Mitwali A. 4. Laallam A. 14. Al Muhaza T. 24. Al-Marri A. N. 7. Said A. 8. Al Shila T. (C) 20. Joao Teixeira 16. Rochinha 33. Fettouhi D. 10. Njie Y.	45. Abdullah El Rady (G) 4. Al Jabri M. 24. Murillo J. 5. Nani M. (C) 6. Ebrahimi O. 8. Awad M. 14. Atiq S. 12. Majed Mohammed 67. Al Hashemi J. A. 9. Olwan A. 11. Gomes R.
Substitutes
34. Aboutrika A. 88. Alabbasi M. A. 17. Al Hassan M. 12. Ameen A. 2. Balgheit H. 9. Bannis N. 47. ElSanosi M. 11. Hassan M. 31. Kadik M. (G) 13. Masoud I. 3. Rahman N. 23. Sarr M.	17. Aboulros Z. S. 23. Al-Abdulrahman F. 47. Al-Baiati F. 44. Al Mejaba M. 7. Al Yazidi M. 19. Azadi F. 3. El Hannach Y. 20. Mazeed T. 18. Rajah H. 15. Saad K. 1. Saberi A. (G) 34. Sayed M.
Coaches
Hudson A.	Asbaghi P.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Markhiya won 3.

Recent matches Al-Markhiya is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Shamal has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Shamal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Al-Markhiya will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Al-Markhiya won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Markhiya won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Markhiya SC
Qatar QSL Cup
14.10.23	Al-Markhiya - Al-Rayyan	3:2 ✺
07.10.23	Al-Shamal - Al-Markhiya	0:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
28.09.23	Al-Markhiya - Al Duhail	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	Al-Markhiya - Al-Wakrah	0:3 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
10.09.23	Al-Gharafa - Al-Markhiya	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLLT
- Al-Shamal SC
Qatar QSL Cup
07.10.23	Al-Shamal - Al-Markhiya	0:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
29.09.23	Al-Shamal - Umm-Salal	1:3 ✺
24.09.23	Muaither - Al-Shamal	2:2 ✺
Qatar QFA Cup
15.09.23	Al-Shamal - Al-Khor	0:4 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
10.09.23	Al Duhail - Al-Shamal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL Cup
07.10.23	Al-Shamal - Al-Markhiya	0:2
Qatar QSL
28.04.23	Al-Shamal - Al-Markhiya	1:3
19.04.23	Al-Markhiya - Al-Shamal	2:1
Qatar QSL Cup
08.10.22	Al-Markhiya - Al-Shamal	2:3
Qatar QSL 2
10.03.21	Al-Markhiya - Al-Shamal	0:3
11.01.21	Al-Shamal - Al-Markhiya	1:0
06.11.20	Al-Shamal - Al-Markhiya	0:0

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