Match Info

QSL - Round 20

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Al Bayt Stadium (Al Khor)

Referee: Al Sawan N. A. (Qat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Qatar	Al Kass Two, Shoof


	Al-Shamal		Umm-Salal

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.25	4.65
	1.58	4.44	5.03
	1.66	4.31	4.25	Watch
	1.53	4	4.6
	1.59	4.62	4.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.54)	4.32 ↑ (4.27)	4.6 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shamal
58.5%

Draw
21.4%

Umm-Salal
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

21.5%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

20.9%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shamal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Umm-Salal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Al Shamal - Umm Salal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Seck B. (G) 70. Khoder M. 4. Termanini M. 24. Murillo J. 2. Awad M. 6. Ebrahimi O. 12. Al Mannai M. 7. Mohamed O. 8. Collado A. 5. Sliti N. 11. Bounedjah B. (C)	48. Hamadeh I. R. (G) 21. Saad K. 15. Tahif A. 22. Udosen E. 37. Diallo A. 3. Hazaa A. 14. Tannane O. (C) 32. El Sayed A. 8. Al Hajri S. 17. Kouassi J. E. 33. Cristo
Substitutes
14. Ali O. 15. Al Mehairi J. 18. Al Sulimane A. 19. Azadi F. 30. Barry O. (G) 81. Bounacer A. 45. El Rady A. (G) 32. Majed I. 10. Ounas A. 16. Prim P. 9. Qadry A. 17. Seyam T.	20. Afif A. 6. Aholou J. 11. Al Shammari M. 13. Ashour L. (G) 10. Baidoo M. 2. Fayez A. 27. Haroon D. 16. Jarrar Y. 44. Mahdi Al Mejaba 9. Mance A. 7. Mansour K. 5. Said F.
Coaches
Prats D.	Albes R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Ebrahimi O. (Penalty Awarded),
37', Cristo ↓, Baidoo M. ↑,
44', Khoder M. 🟨,
45+7', 2 - 0, Bounedjah B. ⚽, Sliti N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', Diallo A. ↓, Mance A. ↑,
58', Saad K. ↓, Fayez A. ↑,
59', 3 - 0, Collado A. ⚽, Bounedjah B. (A),
63', Khoder M. ↓, Majed I. ↑,
64', Sliti N. ↓, Ounas A. ↑,
72', Collado A. ↓, Prim P. ↑,
73', Murillo J. 🟨,
75', 3 - 1, Mance A. ⚽, Kouassi J. E. (A),
76', Al Mannai M. ↓, Al Sulimane A. ↑,
77', Murillo J. ↓, Bounacer A. ↑,
80', Kouassi J. E. ↓, Jarrar Y. ↑,
80', El Sayed A. ↓, Aholou J. ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Jarrar Y. ⚽, Aholou J. (A),
90', Prim P. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 3.

Al-Shamal is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Umm-Salal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Shamal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Shamal is a strong favorite.

We predict that Al-Shamal will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:38. (average 1.7:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shamal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.6:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Shamal	4	2	2	0	10:6	4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shamal SC
Qatar QSL
17.03.26	Al-Shamal - Al Duhail	1:3 ✺
12.03.26	Al-Wakrah - Al-Shamal	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal	0:1 ✺
Qatar Emir Cup
13.02.26	Al-Shamal - Qatar SC	2:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
05.02.26	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Shamal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWWW
- Umm-Salal SC
Qatar QSL Cup
28.03.26	Al-Rayyan - Umm-Salal	4:3 penalties ✺
24.03.26	Umm-Salal - Al Bidda	2:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
18.03.26	Umm-Salal - Qatar SC	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Al-Sadd - Umm-Salal	1:4 ✺
27.02.26	Umm-Salal - Al-Wakrah	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL
01.11.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal	0:5
Qatar QSL Cup
03.09.25	Al-Shamal - Umm-Salal	1:3
Qatar Emir Cup
13.05.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal	2:1 penalties
Qatar QSL
24.01.25	Al-Shamal - Umm-Salal	4:0
Qatar QSL Cup
31.08.24	Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal	1:2
Qatar QSL
16.08.24	Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal	3:2
05.03.24	Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal	3:4

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