Match Info

Premier League

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Al Merreikh Stadium (Omdurman)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Rwanda	Magic Sports TV


	Al-Merreikh		Mukura Victory Sports

	1	X	2
	2	2.82	3.85
	2.11	2.88	3.77	Watch
	2.1	2.7	3.6
	2.13	2.91	3.74
	2.05	2.9	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.8)	2.84 ↓ (3.1)	3.71 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Merreikh
43.6%

Draw
31.9%

Mukura Victory Sports
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

29.1%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

28.1%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Merreikh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Merreikh's form might have worsened.

Mukura Victory Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Merreikh than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Merreikh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mukura Victory Sports than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Al Merreikh - Mukura Victory Sports Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 7).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Al-Merreikh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Merreikh is the team to beat.

We predict that Al-Merreikh will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Mukura Victory Sports	2	1	0	1	2:1	1	3
14	Al-Merreikh	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Merreikh
Rwanda Premier League
08.01.26	Al-Merreikh - Police	1:1 ✺
05.01.26	Gasogi United - Al-Merreikh	0:1 ✺
29.12.25	Muhanga - Al-Merreikh	0:0 ✺
24.12.25	Al-Merreikh - Musanze	3:2 ✺
21.12.25	Al-Merreikh - Gicumbi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWTWW
- Mukura Victory Sports
Rwanda Premier League
04.01.26	Rutsiro - Mukura Victory Sports	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Mukura Victory Sports - Marines	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Amagaju - Mukura Victory Sports	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Mukura Victory Sports - Gicumbi	2:0 ✺
08.12.25	Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman - Mukura Victory Sports	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWL

Al-Merreikh - Mukura Victory Sports: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide