Match Info

Premier League

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Al Merreikh Stadium (Omdurman) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App
Rwanda	18:30	Magic Sports TV


	Al-Merreikh		Police

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.72	2.88
	2.59	2.74	2.98	Watch
	2.5	2.5	2.9
	2.54	2.73	2.83
	2.57	2.66	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.5)	2.67 ↓ (2.75)	2.9 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Merreikh
35.3%

Draw
33.7%

Police
31%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

32.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

32.6%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Merreikh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Merreikh than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Al Merreikh - Police Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

Al-Merreikh has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Police is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Merreikh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Police	5	1	1	3	2:5	-3	4
17	Al Merreikh	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Merreikh
Rwanda Premier League
05.01.26	Gasogi United - Al-Merreikh	0:1 ✺
29.12.25	Muhanga - Al-Merreikh	0:0 ✺
24.12.25	Al-Merreikh - Musanze	3:2 ✺
21.12.25	Al-Merreikh - Gicumbi	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Etincelles - Al-Merreikh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWWW
- Police FC Kibungo
Rwanda Premier League
03.01.26	Police - Gorilla	4:0 ✺
26.12.25	Bugesera - Police	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Etincelles - Police	0:1 ✺
12.12.25	Police - Gasogi United	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	APR - Police	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Merreikh
Rwanda Premier League
28.10.26	Police - Al-Merreikh	✺
- Police FC Kibungo
Rwanda Premier League
28.10.26	Police - Al-Merreikh	✺

Al-Merreikh - Police