Match Info

Date: 6 March 2021, Saturday


	Al-Merreikh		Simba

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.1	2.87	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.85
	2.6	3.1	2.65
	2.65	2.95	2.6
	2.75	3.16	2.75
	2.62	3.1	2.62	Watch
	2.68	3.11	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.31)	3.06 ↑ (3)	2.7 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Merreikh
35.4%

Draw
30.3%

Simba
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.1%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

22.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Merreikh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Merreikh than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Merreikh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simba than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Simba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Merreikh - Simba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Al-Merreikh is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Simba is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Merreikh
Sudan Premier League
01.03.21	Hilal Alsahil - Al-Merreikh	1:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
23.02.21	Al-Merreikh - Vita Club	1:4 ✺
16.02.21	Al Ahly Cairo - Al-Merreikh	3:0 ✺
Sudan Premier League
06.02.21	Al Khartoum - Al-Merreikh	1:1 ✺
03.02.21	Al-Merreikh - Al-Ahli Shendi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLTW
- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
01.03.21	Simba - JKT Tanzania	3:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
23.02.21	Simba - Al Ahly Cairo	1:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
18.02.21	Biashara Mara United - Simba	0:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
12.02.21	Vita Club - Simba	0:1 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
07.02.21	Simba - Azam	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWT

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