Match Info

IRAQ: Stars League - Round 14

Date: 13 January 2025, Monday


	Al-Minaa		Naft Al-Basra

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.4
	2.17	2.93	3.52	Watch
	2.15	2.96	3.37	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.24)	2.92 ↑ (2.9)	3.42 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Minaa
42.2%

Draw
31.2%

Naft Al-Basra
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

32.1%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

31.1%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Minaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Naft Al-Basra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Al Minaa - Naft Al Basra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Mogtaba A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 2 - 0, Abdulraheem M. (Pen),

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 17).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Al-Minaa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Minaa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 0.8:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Minaa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League
07.01.25	Al-Naft - Al-Minaa	1:0 ✺
02.01.25	Al-Minaa - Naft Maysan	1:0 ✺
29.12.24	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Minaa	1:1 ✺
05.12.24	Al-Minaa - Arbil	3:0 ✺
27.11.24	Al-Minaa - Zakho	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 44.7 LWTWT
- Naft Al-Basra
Iraqi Premier League
09.01.25	Naft Al-Basra - Newroz	2:0 ✺
02.01.25	Duhok - Naft Al-Basra	1:0 ✺
05.12.24	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Zawraa	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Karbala - Naft Al-Basra	2:1 ✺
25.11.24	Al-Talaba - Naft Al-Basra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
01.04.24	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Minaa	0:1
22.12.23	Al-Minaa - Naft Al-Basra	1:1
14.02.22	Al-Minaa - Naft Al-Basra	0:1
17.02.20	Al-Minaa - Naft Al-Basra	1:0
22.11.18	Al-Minaa - Naft Al-Basra	1:0

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