Match Info

Stars League - Round 35

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Al-Naft		Al-Minaa

	1	X	2
	2.08	3	3.35
	2.02	2.92	3.47
	2.08	3.03	3.54	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.3
	2.03	3.08	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.12)	2.99 ↓ (3.06)	3.44 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Naft
43.8%

Draw
30.1%

Al-Minaa
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

29.9%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

29.1%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Al-Minaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Al Naft - Al Minaa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 1 - 0, Kareem W. ⚽,
75', 1 - 1, Abdulrahim M. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).

Al-Naft has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Minaa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Naft might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Naft won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Naft	8	4	3	1	9:5	4	15
11	Al Minaa	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League
10.05.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Naft	3:0 ✺
05.05.26	Al-Naft - Al-Karma	0:0 ✺
01.05.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Naft	1:0 ✺
27.04.26	Al-Naft - Zakho	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Al Mosul - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLTT
- Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League
10.05.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Zawraa	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Minaa	3:3 ✺
02.05.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Minaa	0:1 ✺
21.04.26	Al-Minaa - Amanat Baghdad	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
28.01.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Naft	0:0
29.03.25	Al-Minaa - Al-Naft	2:0
07.01.25	Al-Naft - Al-Minaa	1:0
24.02.24	Al-Naft - Al-Minaa	1:1
24.02.22	Al-Naft - Al-Minaa	4:1

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