Match Info

IRAQ: Stars League - Round 8

Date: 25 November 2024, Monday

Location: Al Talaba Stadium (Baghdad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Almanasa


	Al-Talaba		Naft Al-Basra

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.84	3.02	4.17
	1.82	3.18	4.46	Watch
	1.81	3.14	4.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.22)	3.11 ↑ (3)	4.23 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Talaba
49.5%

Draw
29.1%

Naft Al-Basra
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

25.1%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Talaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Talaba's performance.

Naft Al-Basra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naft Al-Basra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Talaba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naft Al-Basra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Al Talaba - Naft Al Basra Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Talaba will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Ouro-Agoro I. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Talaba
Iraqi Premier League
06.11.24	Al-Zawraa - Al-Talaba	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Al-Talaba - Al-Minaa	1:0 ✺
29.10.24	Newroz - Al-Talaba	1:0 ✺
24.10.24	Al-Talaba - Al-Karma	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Talaba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWL
- Naft Al-Basra
Iraqi Premier League
07.11.24	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Kahraba	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Arbil - Naft Al-Basra	4:1 ✺
28.10.24	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Karma	0:5 ✺
24.10.24	Al-Naft - Naft Al-Basra	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
10.02.24	Al-Talaba - Naft Al-Basra	2:3
25.06.23	Al-Talaba - Naft Al-Basra	2:1
31.10.21	Al-Talaba - Naft Al-Basra	3:2
24.02.21	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Talaba	1:1
23.10.19	Al-Talaba - Naft Al-Basra	4:4
25.06.19	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Talaba	1:2

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