Match Info

IRAQ: Stars League - Round 9

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday


	Karbala		Naft Al-Basra

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.8	3.1
	2.29	2.94	3.2
	2.25	2.94	3.33
	2.23	2.97	3.31	Watch
	2.19	2.98	3.27	Watch
	2.29	2.94	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.32)	2.93 ↑ (2.8)	3.24 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karbala
40.7%

Draw
31.1%

Naft Al-Basra
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

32.4%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

31.5%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karbala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Naft Al-Basra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karbala than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Karbala - Naft Al Basra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Aws M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 2 - 0, ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karbala
Iraqi Premier League
27.11.24	Karbala - Diyala	2:2 ✺
06.11.24	Al-Karkh - Karbala	2:1 ✺
01.11.24	Al-Hudood - Karbala	0:1 ✺
29.10.24	Naft Maysan - Karbala	0:0 ✺
25.10.24	Karbala - Al-Minaa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLWTW
- Naft Al-Basra
Iraqi Premier League
25.11.24	Al-Talaba - Naft Al-Basra	0:1 ✺
07.11.24	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Kahraba	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Arbil - Naft Al-Basra	4:1 ✺
28.10.24	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Karma	0:5 ✺
24.10.24	Al-Naft - Naft Al-Basra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLL

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