Match Info
Stars League - Round 8Date: 18 September 2026, FridayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Iraq | Almanasa |
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Al Mosul |
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Al-Naft |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.65 |
2.58 |
2.8 |
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2.66 |
2.55 |
2.8 |
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2.7 |
2.69 |
2.84 |
 Watch |
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2.6 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
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2.59 |
2.64 |
2.8 |
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2.65 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.3) |
2.59 ↓
(2.85) |
2.79 ↓
(3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Al Mosul
33.7% | Draw
34.3% | Al-Naft
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Mosul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Mosul's form might have worsened.Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Mosul than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (-1.6%)Al Mosul - Al Naft Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 65', Kadhim H. 🟨,
- 90+8', 0 - 1, Adnan M. ⚽,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 5th).The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.Al Mosul could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match. The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Al Mosul has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).Specifically in home fixtures for Al Mosul against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Al Naft | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
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| 14 | Al Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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