Match Info

Stars League - Round 11

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday


	Al Mosul		Arbil

	1	X	2
	3.45	2.92	2.1
	3.58	3.09	2.04	Watch
	3.6	2.7	2.1
	3.74	3.12	2.08	Watch
	4	3	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (4.06)	2.97 ↑ (2.86)	2.04 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Mosul
24.8%

Draw
30.7%

Arbil
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

32%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Mosul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Arbil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Al Mosul - Arbil Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Arbil will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Arbil (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Arbil (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Temirov S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 2, Temirov S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

Arbil might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Erbil	8	5	2	1	12:3	9	17
14	Al Mosul	9	2	2	5	9:15	-6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Mosul SC
Iraqi Premier League
04.01.26	Al-Karkh - Al Mosul	2:2 ✺
31.12.25	Al-Talaba - Al Mosul	0:0 ✺
22.12.25	Al Mosul - Naft Maysan	1:1 ✺
21.11.25	Al-Naft - Al Mosul	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Al Mosul - Al-Zawraa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TTTWL
- Arbil
Iraqi Premier League
04.01.26	Arbil - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:0 ✺
31.12.25	Arbil - Naft Maysan	1:0 ✺
22.12.25	Diyala - Arbil	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Arbil - Al-Gharraf	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Newroz - Arbil	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWTWW

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