Match Info

Stars League - Round 6

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday


	Newroz		Arbil

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.2	2.18
	2.99	3.22	2.21
	3.45	3.1	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.62)	3.17 ↑ (3.1)	2.15 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newroz
29.1%

Draw
28.6%

Arbil
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

30%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

29.5%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newroz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Arbil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Newroz - Arbil Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arbil (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 1, Mrsic O. (Own goal),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Stars League (Relegation) and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newroz won 3.

Newroz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arbil is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arbil might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Newroz won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Newroz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newroz Sulaymaniyah
Iraqi Premier League
25.10.25	Newroz - Duhok	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Zakho - Newroz	4:0 ✺
25.09.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Newroz	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Newroz - Naft Maysan	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Newroz - Al-Kahraba	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Arbil
Iraqi Premier League
24.10.25	Arbil - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Arbil - Al-Karma	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Al-Kahraba - Arbil	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Al-Minaa - Arbil	1:3 ✺
15.09.25	Arbil - Najaf	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
14.06.25	Arbil - Newroz	0:1
10.02.25	Newroz - Arbil	2:0
14.07.24	Newroz - Arbil	4:4
12.02.24	Arbil - Newroz	1:1
10.07.23	Newroz - Arbil	2:1
23.06.22	Newroz - Arbil	1:0

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