Match Info

IRAQ: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 13

Date: 26 January 2023, Thursday


	Al-Naft		Al-Sinaa

	1	X	2
	1.75	3	4.6
	1.74	2.95	5.08
	1.78	3.1	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.02)	3.02 ↑ (3)	4.78 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Naft
51.3%

Draw
29.9%

Al-Sinaa
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

30.1%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

27.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Naft's performance.

Al-Sinaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Sinaa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Naft that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sinaa than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Sinaa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Al Naft - Al Sinaa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Naft will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Al-Naft is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Sinaa is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Naft will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Naft won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Naft won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League
25.12.22	Al-Karkh - Al-Naft	0:1 ✺
20.12.22	Al-Naft - Naft Al-Basra	1:2 ✺
14.12.22	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
10.12.22	Al-Naft - Al-Talaba	1:1 ✺
05.12.22	Arbil - Al-Naft	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLTTL
- Al-Sinaa
Iraqi Premier League
24.12.22	Al-Sinaa - Al-Diwaniya	3:2 ✺
19.12.22	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Sinaa	4:0 ✺
14.12.22	Al-Sinaa - Duhok	1:3 ✺
10.12.22	Al-Sinaa - Al-Hudood	0:1 ✺
05.12.22	Naft Maysan - Al-Sinaa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
16.06.22	Al-Sinaa - Al-Naft	0:0
05.01.22	Al-Naft - Al-Sinaa	1:1
03.09.13	Al-Sinaa - Al-Naft	0:1

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