Match Info

Stars League - Round 4

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Al-Karkh		Al-Naft

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.88	2.05
	3.49	2.61	2.25
	3.17	3.06	2.25	Watch
	3.66	2.88	2.09
	3.65	2.9	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.6)	2.87 ↓ (3.5)	2.14 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Karkh
25.9%

Draw
31.7%

Al-Naft
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

26.4%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Karkh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Karkh's form might have worsened.

Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Al Karkh - Al Naft Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Al-Karkh (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Karkh (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
27', 1 - 0, Khalid Kofi M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Khaled A. (Pen),
45+6', 1 - 2, Sadat M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 2, Khalid Kofi M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Karkh won 0.

Al-Karkh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Karkh won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Karkh won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League
27.09.25	Duhok - Al-Karkh	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Qasim	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:1 ✺
03.07.25	Al-Karkh - Duhok	2:4 ✺
29.06.25	Arbil - Al-Karkh	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWLLW
- Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League
25.09.25	Al-Naft - Al-Talaba	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Al-Karma - Al-Naft	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Al-Qasim - Al-Naft	0:3 ✺
02.07.25	Al-Naft - Al-Zawraa	2:1 ✺
27.06.25	Karbala - Al-Naft	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
27.04.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Naft	1:1
25.11.24	Al-Naft - Al-Karkh	1:0
17.05.24	Al-Karkh - Al-Naft	0:0
25.11.23	Al-Naft - Al-Karkh	2:2
30.05.23	Al-Naft - Al-Karkh	3:2
25.12.22	Al-Karkh - Al-Naft	0:1
30.09.21	Al-Naft - Al-Karkh	0:0

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