Match Info

League Cup - Round 3

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Al Maktoum Stadium (Dubai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
World	Triller TV+


	Al-Nasr		Hatta

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.33	5.75
	1.42	4.40	5.75
	1.41	4.70	6.34
	1.42	4.57	6
	1.38	4.45	6.00
	1.38	4.40	6.36	Watch
	1.40	4.50	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	4.48 ↓ (4.55)	6.06 ↑ (5.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nasr
64.7%

Draw
20.3%

Hatta
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

20.1%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

18.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nasr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Hatta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Nasr that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatta than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Nasr - Hatta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Nasr will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Shambih A. (G) 30. Joao Moreira 15. Sanogo A. 4. Glauber 55. Petrovic D. 7. Agudelo K. 19. Milivojevic L. (C) 70. Hrustic A. 28. Toure A. 13. Mierez R. 9. Bedia C.	22. Rashed M. (C) 3. Suleiman S. 49. Doumbia J. 52. Kaua Bastian 38. Farid S. 16. Pedroza J. 80. Simon D. 28. Humaid H. 9. Pedrinho 60. Coulibaly D. 99. Faye B.
Substitutes
5. Abdulbasit M. 53. Adli M. (G) 24. Al Zaabi Z. 14. Felipe Motta 10. Ghaedi M. 21. Idrees A. 51. Kassem M. 6. Mahdi H. 38. Ndiaye M. 75. Osama Z. 17. Wesley Delgado 46. Zamah M.	18. Al Badwawi H. 44. Al-Balooshi I. (G) 11. Ben Larbi F. 5. Khaled 74. Khalid A. 50. Khameis S. (G) 36. Khauan Schlickmann 23. Ouahabi G. 17. Pedro Leao 2. Saeed O. 4. Walid A.
Coaches
Milojevic M.	Ilic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Faye B. (Penalty Awarded),
32', 1 - 1, Agudelo K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Doumbia J. ↓, Ouahabi G. ↑,
54', Pedrinho ↓, Ben Larbi F. ↑,
58', Pedroza J. 🟨,
63', Joao Moreira ↓, Al Zaabi Z. ↑,
63', Hrustic A. ↓, Wesley Delgado ↑,
63', Faye B. ↓, Pedro Leao ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Agudelo K. ⚽,
66', 3 - 1, Ouahabi G. (Own goal),
74', Simon D. ↓, Khauan Schlickmann ↑,
74', Humaid H. ↓, Khaled ↑,
78', Agudelo K. ↓, Mahdi H. ↑,
78', Bedia C. ↓, Ghaedi M. ↑,
83', 4 - 1, Mierez R. ⚽, Wesley Delgado (A),
85', Mierez R. ↓, Kassem M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 5.

Al-Nasr has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Hatta is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, Al-Nasr enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Al-Nasr has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:6 (averaging 1.8:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Nasr against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:3 goals (averaging 1.4:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Nasr	3	2	1	0	8:3	5	7
11	Hatta	3	0	1	2	5:9	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nasr SC
UAE League Cup
02.10.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Nasr	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Al-Nasr - United FC	3:1 ✺
UAE Football League
10.09.26	Al-Jazira - Al-Nasr	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Al-Nasr - Ajman Club	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Al Ain - Al-Nasr	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWTLL
- Hatta Club
UAE League Cup
01.10.26	United FC - Hatta	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Hatta - Shabab Al-Ahli	2:2 ✺
UAE Football League
11.09.26	Hatta - Al Dhafra	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Bani Yas - Hatta	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Hatta - Al-Sharjah	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
28.03.24	Al-Nasr - Hatta	1:0
28.09.23	Hatta - Al-Nasr	0:3
26.02.21	Al-Nasr - Hatta	2:0
08.11.20	Hatta - Al-Nasr	0:3
19.12.19	Hatta - Al-Nasr	1:2
16.03.18	Al-Nasr - Hatta	2:1
17.11.17	Hatta - Al-Nasr	1:5

Al-Nasr - Hatta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide