Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 3

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sport 1+
Portugal	Canal 11
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Al-Nassr Riyadh		Al Duhail

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.24	6.75	9	Watch
	1.22	6.5	10	Watch
	1.23	7.8	11
	1.27	6.69	10.16
	1.22	6	9
	1.22	6.7	10.75	Watch
	1.24	6.4	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.31)	6.69 ↑ (5.05)	9.79 ↑ (9.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nassr Riyadh
76.3%

Draw
14.1%

Al Duhail
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.3%

18.5%

10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

17.9%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Al Duhail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Al Nassr Riyadh - Al Duhail Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Al Duhail will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nassr: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Al Aqidi N. (G) 2. Al Ghannam S. 5. Al Amri A. 27. Laporte A. 24. Qasem M. 8. Al Sulaiheem A. 17. Al Khaibari A. 25. Otavio 94. Talisca A. 10. Mane S. 7. Ronaldo C. (C)	1. Zakaria S. (G) 33. Kim Moon-Hwan 4. Aymen Y. 35. Semedo R. 18. Sultan Al-Brake 12. Boudiaf K. 23. Madibo A. O. 7. Mohammad I. 9. Coutinho 11. Almoez Ali (C) 14. Olunga M.
Substitutes
33. Abdullah W. (G) 46. Al Elewai A. 11. Al Ghannam K. 19. Al Hassan A. 14. Al Naji S. 30. Al Nemer M. 12. Boushal N. 29. Ghareeb A. 3. Madu A. 16. Maran M. 36. Najjar R. (G)	17. Abdelrahman Fahmi 3. Al Naemi M. 21. Amer F. 22. Bamba I. 99. Ellethy S. (G) 19. Lihadji I. 20. Madjer L. 16. Mohamad Hassan A. 6. Mohammed K. 29. Muntari M. 2. Musa M. 13. Saeed Ibrahim M. (G)
Coaches
Castro L.	Galtier C.

Preview

Al-Nassr in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Al Duhail is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al Duhail could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Al Duhail have a series of guest games.

In this match Al-Nassr is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Al-Nassr won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Nassr won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
21.10.23	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Damac	2:1 ✺
06.10.23	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Abha	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
02.10.23	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe	3:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
29.09.23	Al-Taee - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:2 ✺
Saudi King Cup
25.09.23	Ohud Medina - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTWWW
- Al Duhail
Qatar QSL Cup
14.10.23	Al-Gharafa - Al Duhail	0:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
02.10.23	Al Duhail - Persepolis	0:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
28.09.23	Al-Markhiya - Al Duhail	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	Al-Gharafa - Al Duhail	3:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
19.09.23	Istiklol Dushanbe - Al Duhail	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
05.04.16	Al Duhail - Al-Nassr Riyadh	4:0
16.03.16	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Duhail	1:1
06.05.15	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Duhail	1:3
03.03.15	Al Duhail - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:1

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