The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Gharafa 28.6%
Draw 23.7%
Al Duhail 47.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.8%
23%
47.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
22.1%
45.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Al Duhail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
0%
62.5%
Al Gharafa - Al Duhail Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Al Duhail will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Al Duhail: 29% โ 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Khalifa A. B. (G) 42. Sano S. 20. Jang Hyun-Soo 6. Traore D. 23. Fadlalla S. 13. Sassi F. 18. Al Oui A. 24. Gunnarsson A. 10. Al Ganehi A. 8. Brahimi Y. (C) 9. Joselu
30. Burke B. (G) 5. Al Rawi B. (C) 21. Castelletto J. 4. Aymen Y. 18. Al Brake S. 19. Bourigeaud B. 6. Verratti M. 8. Edmilson Junior 10. Luis Alberto 81. Jamshid T. 9. Piatek K.
Substitutes
26. Al-Ali R. A. 55. Al Rayami N. 17. Boussafi R. 7. Coman F. 14. Djalo A. 99. Hamed J. 27. Holgate M. 12. Ismaeil H. 21. Kahiout H. (G) 40. Lecomte C. (G) 3. Muntari M. 11. Surag A.
20. Al Ahrak A. 24. Al Amin H. 22. Bamba I. 12. Boudiaf K. 77. Boulbina A. 25. Hamza M. 96. Hassan A. (G) 15. Luiz Ceara 7. Mohammed I. 38. Sarour J. (G)
Coaches
Martins P.
Belmadi D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Sano S. ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
43', Sano S. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Luis Alberto ⚽, Al Rawi B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Jamshid T. ↓, Mohammed I. ↑,
50', Gunnarsson A. 🟨,
52', Castelletto J. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Joselu ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
69', Al Rawi B. ↓, Hamza M. ↑,
69', Bourigeaud B. ↓, Boulbina A. ↑,
77', Verratti M. 🟥,
77', Al Ganehi A. 🟨,
84', Edmilson Junior ↓, Boudiaf K. ↑,
86', Al Ganehi A. ↓, Surag A. ↑,
90+2', Boudiaf K. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 1, Joselu (Pen),
90+6', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,
90+10', Brahimi Y. ↓, Coman F. ↑,
90+10', Joselu ↓, Djalo A. ↑,
90+10', Fadlalla S. ↓, Al-Ali R. A. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 1.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Al Duhail may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Al Duhail has had a series of home games.
Al Duhail might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Gharafa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1:1.8).