Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 32

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 1, ZAP
Angola	19:00	Z Sports 1
Asia	—	JACO Middle East
Australia	04:00	Channel 10
Austria	20:00	DAZN 2, DAZN
Brazil	15:00	BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Czech Republic	20:00	Strike, Strike
France	20:00	DAZN France
Germany	20:00	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	21:00	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong Kong	02:00	on.cc
Hungary	20:00	Spiler1 TV
India	23:30	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	20:00	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kenya	21:00	Gotv
Mexico	12:00	FOX One
Nigeria	19:00	SupeSport ESPN 1
Poland	20:00	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	19:00	Sport TV1
Romania	21:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Saudi Arabia	21:00	Thmanyah
South Africa	20:00	SupeSport ESPN
Switzerland	20:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	23:00	Futbol TV
Ukraine	21:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Usa	14:00	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com
International	18:00	Onefootball


	Al-Nassr Riyadh		Al-Hilal

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.75
	2.3	3.8	2.65
	2.32	3.55	2.72
	2.38	3.65	2.86
	2.33	3.28	2.93	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.63
	2.35	3.43	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.29)	3.5 ↑ (3.38)	2.77 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nassr Riyadh
40.1%

Draw
26.5%

Al-Hilal
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.3%

27.3%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

26.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Al Nassr Riyadh - Al Hilal Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Al-Hilal will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nassr: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bento (G) 12. Boushal N. 3. Simakan M. 5. Al Amri A. 26. Martinez I. 21. Coman K. 11. Brozovic M. 19. Al Hassan A. 10. Mane S. 79. Joao Felix 7. Ronaldo C. (C)	37. Bono (G) 87. Tambakti H. 8. Neves R. 24. Al Harbi M. 16. Al Dawsari N. 10. Malcom 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 28. Kanno M. 19. Hernandez T. 90. Benzema K. 29. Al Dawsari S. (C)
Substitutes
1. Al Aqidi N. (G) 2. Al Ghannam S. 9. Al Hamdan A. 83. Al Najdi S. 96. Al Nasser S. 4. Al Sharari N. 29. Ghareeb A. 16. Maran M. 23. Yahya A.	40. Abu Rasen A. (G) 4. Akcicek Y. 18. Al Hawsawi M. 17. Al Rubaie M. (G) 14. Darisi A. 78. Lajami A. 23. Mandash S. 9. Marcos Leonardo
Coaches
Jesus J.	Inzaghi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Al Hassan A. 🟨,
25', Al Amri A. 🟨,
29', Tambakti H. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Simakan M. ⚽, Coman K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Al Hassan A. ↓, Al Nasser S. ↑,
64', Milinkovic-Savic S. 🟨,
69', Benzema K. ↓, Marcos Leonardo ↑,
69', Al Dawsari S. ↓, Mandash S. ↑,
69', Tambakti H. ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
72', Brozovic M. ↓, Al Sharari N. ↑,
72', Coman K. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
75', Joao Felix 🟨,
77', Al Harbi M. ↓, Akcicek Y. ↑,
81', Yahya A. 🟨,
83', Ronaldo C. ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
83', Boushal N. ↓, Al Ghannam S. ↑,
87', Malcom ↓, Al Hawsawi M. ↑,
90+2', Hernandez T. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 1, Bento (Own goal),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

Al-Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )

Al-Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Al-Hilal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:39. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nassr won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 0.9:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Hilal	10	9	0	1	30:9	21	27
2	Al Nassr	10	8	1	1	23:8	15	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
07.05.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:4 ✺
03.05.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Nassr Riyadh	3:1 ✺
29.04.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
22.04.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Doha	5:1 ✺
19.04.26	Al Wasl - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW
- Al-Hilal Riyadh
Saudi King Cup
08.05.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Hilal	1:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
05.05.26	Al-Khaleej - Al-Hilal	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Al Hazem - Al-Hilal	0:3 ✺
28.04.26	Al-Hilal - Damac	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
13.04.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Sadd	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
12.01.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh	3:1
04.04.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:3
01.11.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal	1:1
Saudi Super Cup
17.08.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal	1:4
Saudi King Cup
31.05.24	Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:1 penalties
Saudi Professional League
17.05.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal	1:1
Saudi Super Cup
08.04.24	Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:1

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