Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 31

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium (Dammam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	DAZN
Asia	JACO Middle East
Australia	Channel 10
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
India	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
Paraguay	DAZN
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 5
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus
Venezuela	DAZN
World	Onefootball


	Al-Qadisiya		Al-Nassr Riyadh

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.9	1.91
	3.2	3.8	2
	3.05	3.85	2
	3.24	4.19	1.99
	3.12	4.14	1.99	Watch
	3.1	3.7	1.85
	3.57	4.13	1.97	Watch
	2.55	3.7	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.55)	3.93 ↑ (3.7)	2 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Qadisiya
29.7%

Draw
23.7%

Al-Nassr Riyadh
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

24.4%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

24.7%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qadisiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Qadisiya's form might have worsened.

Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Nassr Riyadh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Qadisiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Nassr Riyadh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Al Qadisiya - Al Nassr Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Al-Nassr will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Casteels K. (G) 2. Abu Al Shamat M. 4. Thakri J. 6. Fernandez N. (C) 17. Alvarez G. 8. Nandez N. 25. Otavio 10. Al Juwayr M. 22. Bonsu Baah C. 33. Quinones J. 9. Al Salem A.	24. Bento (G) 12. Boushal N. 3. Simakan M. 5. Al Amri A. 26. Martinez I. 17. Al Khaibari A. 11. Brozovic M. 21. Coman K. 79. Joao Felix 20. Angelo 7. Ronaldo C. (C)
Substitutes
28. Al Kassar A. (G) 12. Al Shahrani Y. 90. Al Yuhaybi A. 19. Asiri H. 20. Gabriel Carvalho 11. Hazazi A. A. 27. Houssa E. 40. Mahnashi I. 24. Qasem M.	2. Al Ghannam S. 9. Al Hamdan A. 19. Al Hassan A. 96. Al Nasser S. 53. Al Otaibi A. (G) 4. Al Sharari N. 29. Ghareeb A. 16. Maran M. 23. Yahya A.
Coaches
Rodgers B.	Jesus J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Abu Al Shamat M. ⚽, Bonsu Baah C. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Joao Felix ⚽, Brozovic M. (A),
41', Martinez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Otavio 🟨,
49', Joao Felix 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Al Juwayr M. ⚽, Quinones J. (A),
67', Al Khaibari A. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
70', Al Salem A. ↓, Gabriel Carvalho ↑,
73', Al Juwayr M. ↓, Hazazi A. A. ↑,
76', Angelo ↓, Al Nasser S. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Quinones J. ⚽,
85', Coman K. ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
85', Boushal N. ↓, Al Ghannam S. ↑,
86', Martinez I. ↓, Ghareeb A. ↑,
89', Yahya A. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

Al-Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )

Al-Qadisiya has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Nassr is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Al-Nassr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Al-Nassr will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Qadisiya won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Qadisiya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Qadsiah	8	6	1	1	21:8	13	19
3	Al Nassr	8	6	1	1	19:7	12	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League
29.04.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	0:4 ✺
14.04.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:2 ✺
09.04.26	Damac - Al-Qadisiya	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Qadisiya	3:2 ✺
13.03.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ahli Jeddah	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTTLW
- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
29.04.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
22.04.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Doha	5:1 ✺
19.04.26	Al Wasl - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:4 ✺
Saudi Professional League
15.04.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
08.01.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	1:2
18.04.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:1
22.11.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	1:2
18.02.21	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:0
13.04.12	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	N/A

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