Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 7

Date: 3 February 2025, Monday

Location: King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj Sport, Solh TV
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play, Matchday+, Premier Football
Portugal	Canal 11
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	SportKlub 4
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Al-Nassr Riyadh		Al Wasl

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.36	5.5	6.5	Watch
	1.37	5.4	6.4
	1.36	5.55	6.95
	1.36	5.43	6.82	Watch
	1.36	5	7
	1.38	5.26	7.33	Watch
	1.32	5.8	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)	5.42 ↑ (5.27)	6.89 ↓ (7.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nassr Riyadh
69.1%

Draw
17.3%

Al Wasl
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

17.8%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7%

16.9%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Al Wasl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Wasl than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Al Nassr Riyadh - Al Wasl Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bento (G) 2. Al Ghannam S. 3. Simakan M. 78. Lajami A. 12. Boushal N. 20. Angelo 19. Al Hassan A. 11. Brozovic M. 10. Mane S. 9. Duran J. 7. Ronaldo C. (C)	16. Zniti A. (G) 44. Awad S. 25. Perez A. 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 4. Bouftini S. 12. Saleh A. 10. Lima F. 6. Sidibe S. 31. Gimenez N. 7. Saleh A. (C) 30. Joao Pedro
Substitutes
4. Al Fatil M. 22. Al Harbi A. (G) 83. Al Najdi S. 36. Al Najjar R. (G) 8. Al Sulaiheem A. 29. Ghareeb A. 16. Maran M. 50. Qasheesh M. 23. Yahya A.	3. Al Mheiri Y. 1. Al Senani K. (G) 23. Al Zaabi T. 17. Caio Canedo 9. Diallo A. 18. Ganaer M. 13. Khalil F. 20. Poblete G. 14. Rodrigo 77. Santos J. 11. Suroor M. 19. Uchino T.
Coaches
Pioli S.	Milojevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', Lima F. 🟨,
14', Lajami A. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Al Hassan A. ⚽, Simakan M. (A),
40', Gimenez N. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Ronaldo C. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Awad S. ↓, Suroor M. ↑,
69', Joao Pedro ↓, Caio Canedo ↑,
73', Boushal N. ↓, Al Najdi S. ↑,
74', Angelo ↓, Al Sulaiheem A. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Ronaldo C. ⚽, Mane S. (A),
81', Ronaldo C. ↓, Ghareeb A. ↑,
81', Simakan M. ↓, Al Fatil M. ↑,
88', 4 - 0, Al Fatil M. ⚽,
89', Al Hassan A. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
90+1', Saleh A. ↓, Al Mheiri Y. ↑,
90+1', Saleh A. ↓, Rodrigo ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Al-Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Al Wasl is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Al-Nassr in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Al Wasl is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Al-Nassr is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Al-Nassr to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al-Nassr won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Nassr won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
30.01.25	Al Raed - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Fateh	3:1 ✺
21.01.25	Al-Khaleej - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:3 ✺
17.01.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:1 ✺
09.01.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWTW
- Al Wasl FC
UAE Football League
30.01.25	Al Wasl - Ittihad Kalba	1:1 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
26.01.25	Al Wasl - Ittihad Kalba	2:0 ✺
UAE Football League
22.01.25	Al Wasl - Al-Sharjah	0:1 ✺
Super Cup UAE Qatar
18.01.25	Al-Sadd - Al Wasl	0:1 ✺
UAE Football League
11.01.25	Bani Yas - Al Wasl	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
07.05.19	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Wasl	3:1
04.03.19	Al Wasl - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:0

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