Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Tantashev I. (Uzb)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	05:00	Paramount+
Brazil	15:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	20:00	Nova Sport
China	02:00	iQIYI, Migu
Hong Kong	02:00	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	23:30	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	01:00	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Israel	20:00	Sport 2
Japan	03:00	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	02:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	19:00	ESPN Extra
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
Philippines	02:00	Matchday+
Russia	21:00	Okko Sport
South Korea	03:00	Tving
Spain	19:00	LaLiga+
Sweden	19:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	19:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Turkey	21:00	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	20:00	Sport 1
Usa	14:00	Paramount+
Vietnam	01:00	FPT Play
International	18:00	Disney+, Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+


	Al-Nassr Riyadh		Esteghlal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.23	6.25	11.5	Watch
	1.33	5	8.2
	1.3	5.49	10.17
	1.29	5.31	9.82	Watch
	1.3	4.8	9
	1.36	4.87	9.07	Watch
	1.33	5	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.35)	5.25 ↑ (4.9)	9.42 ↑ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al-Nassr Riyadh
72.1%

Draw
17.9%

Esteghlal
10%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.8%

18.7%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

17.9%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Esteghlal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Nassr Riyadh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Al Nassr Riyadh - Esteghlal Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bento (G) 12. Boushal N. 3. Simakan M. 4. Al Fatil M. 83. Al Najdi S. 11. Brozovic M. 19. Al Hassan A. 10. Mane S. 23. Yahya A. 9. Duran J. 7. Ronaldo C. (C)	1. Hosseini H. (C) 10. Rezaeian R. 27. Hardani S. 4. Cheshmi R. 55. Raphael Silva 44. Sohrabian A. 87. Ahmadi M. 14. Niknafs Z. 22. Ndong D. 20. Koushki A. 11. Kojo J.
Substitutes
22. Al Harbi A. (G) 36. Al Najjar R. (G) 8. Al Sulaiheem A. 20. Angelo 29. Ghareeb A. 88. Hazazi B. 78. Lajami A. 16. Maran M. 50. Qasheesh M. 80. Wesley	9. Azadi M. R. 93. Eskandari H. 28. Hasheminasab M. 33. Jalali A. 12. Khaledabadi M. (G) 77. Masharipov J. 2. Moradmand M. 50. Nikpour A. (G) 88. Rezavand A. 99. Sadeghi A. 6. Salimi I. 15. Zamani A.
Coaches
Pioli S.	Bozovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Duran J. ⚽,
17', Ahmadi M. 🟨,
27', 2 - 0, Ronaldo C. (Pen),
45+2', Ahmadi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Koushki A. ↓, Masharipov J. ↑,
46', Sohrabian A. ↓, Jalali A. ↑,
62', Kojo J. 🟨,
65', Kojo J. ↓, Azadi M. R. ↑,
68', Al Najdi S. 🟨,
69', Simakan M. ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
77', Al Hassan A. ↓, Al Sulaiheem A. ↑,
77', Yahya A. ↓, Angelo ↑,
78', Mane S. ↓, Wesley ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Duran J. ⚽, Angelo (A),
87', Duran J. ↓, Maran M. ↑,
89', Hardani S. ↓, Salimi I. ↑,
89', Niknafs Z. ↓, Zamani A. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Recent matches Al-Nassr is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Esteghlal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Esteghlal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al-Nassr is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al-Nassr won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
07.03.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
03.03.25	Esteghlal - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
28.02.25	Al-Orobah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:1 ✺
25.02.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:2 ✺
21.02.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTLWL
- Esteghlal FC
AFC Champions League
03.03.25	Esteghlal - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
27.02.25	Persepolis - Esteghlal	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Esteghlal - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
18.02.25	Al-Rayyan - Esteghlal	0:2 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
13.02.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
03.03.25	Esteghlal - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:0
22.10.24	Esteghlal - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:1

Upcoming Matches