Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 8

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Netherlands	Canal+
Philippines	Matchday+
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start Triumph
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Al-Rayyan		Esteghlal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	2.65	3
	2.67	2.79	3.33
	2.59	2.72	3.21
	2.5	2.88	3
	2.64	2.77	3.2
	2.5	2.65	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.15)	2.74 ↓ (3.3)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Rayyan
36.3%

Draw
33.9%

Esteghlal
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

28.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Rayyan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Rayyan's form might have worsened.

Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Rayyan than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Rayyan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.5%	52.2%	4.3%

Al Rayyan - Esteghlal Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Al-Rayyan will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). Esteghlal will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.1% – 70.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
48. Paulo Victor (G) 2. Naji M. 13. Amaro A. 5. Garcia D. (C) 3. Ahmed H. 4. De Sart J. 23. Thiago Mendes 90. Romarinho 10. Roger Guedes 8. Trezeguet 92. Bareiro A.	1. Hosseini H. (C) 10. Rezaeian R. 27. Hardani S. 4. Cheshmi R. 55. Raphael Silva 91. Juma M. 44. Sohrabian A. 22. Ndong D. 88. Rezavand A. 87. Ahmadi M. 9. Azadi M. R.
Substitutes
44. Al Hadhrami N. 20. Ali 21. Bahzad H. 22. Beldi S. (G) 62. Brenet J. 6. Hatem A. 33. Mahajna A. 15. Mansour T. 55. Saleh M. 17. Surag M. 7. Tabata R. 1. Younes F. (G)	70. Behraminejad M. 93. Eskandari H. 28. Hasheminasab M. 12. Khaledabadi M. (G) 20. Koushki A. 90. Mardi A. 14. Niknafs Z. 50. Nikpour A. (G) 66. Saadavi Z. 6. Salimi I.
Coaches
Artur Jorge	Bakhtiarizadeh S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Rezavand A. 🟨,
34', Juma M. ↓, Koushki A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 0 - 1, Azadi M. R. ⚽, Koushki A. (A),
49', Roger Guedes 🟨,
63', Thiago Mendes ↓, Hatem A. ↑,
63', Romarinho ↓, Surag M. ↑,
69', Ahmadi M. ↓, Niknafs Z. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Koushki A. ⚽,
71', De Sart J. 🟨,
74', Naji M. ↓, Mansour T. ↑,
75', Ahmed H. ↓, Tabata R. ↑,
85', Azadi M. R. ↓, Eskandari H. ↑,
90+4', De Sart J. ↓, Ali ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Rayyan won 1.

Recent matches Al-Rayyan is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Esteghlal is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Esteghlal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Al-Rayyan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:21 (average 0.9:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Rayyan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Rayyan SC
Qatar QSL
08.02.25	Al-Shahania - Al-Rayyan	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
03.02.25	Al Ain - Al-Rayyan	1:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
29.01.25	Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa	2:2 ✺
23.01.25	Al-Rayyan - Al Duhail	0:0 ✺
Super Cup UAE Qatar
16.01.25	Al-Rayyan - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWTTL
- Esteghlal FC
Iran Hazfi Cup
13.02.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal	1:2 ET ✺
Iran Pro League
07.02.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Esteghlal	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
03.02.25	Esteghlal - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:1 ✺
Iran Pro League
30.01.25	Esteghlal - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Malavan - Esteghlal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
28.01.20	Al-Rayyan - Esteghlal	0:5
02.04.18	Esteghlal - Al-Rayyan	2:0
13.02.18	Al-Rayyan - Esteghlal	2:2
23.04.14	Esteghlal - Al-Rayyan	3:1
11.03.14	Al-Rayyan - Esteghlal	1:0
23.04.13	Esteghlal - Al-Rayyan	3:0
27.02.13	Al-Rayyan - Esteghlal	3:3

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