Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 26

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium (Khobar)


	Al-Qadisiya		Al-Shoalah

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.5
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.54	3.4	4.9
	1.6	3.53	5.07
	1.6	3.2	5.25
	1.64	3.58	5.1	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.45)	3.44 ↓ (4)	4.92 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Qadisiya
55.6%

Draw
26.1%

Al-Shoalah
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.7%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

14.3%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qadisiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Qadisiya's form might have worsened.

Al-Shoalah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Qadisiya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shoalah than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Shoalah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Qadisiya - Al Shoalah Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Al-Qadisiya is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Shoalah has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Al-Qadisiya is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Qadisiya won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Qadisiya won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Division 1
13.03.23	Al-Jabalain - Al-Qadisiya	2:1 ✺
06.03.23	Al-Qadisiya - Al Hazem	1:1 ✺
28.02.23	Al-Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	1:2 ✺
21.02.23	Hajer - Al-Qadisiya	2:0 ✺
15.02.23	Al-Qadisiya - Jeddah	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTWLT
- Al-Shoalah Al Kharj
Saudi Division 1
13.03.23	Al-Shoalah - Najran	1:3 ✺
07.03.23	Al-Kholood - Al-Shoalah	2:0 ✺
28.02.23	Al-Shoalah - Al Akhdoud	1:2 ✺
21.02.23	Al-Qaisumah - Al-Shoalah	1:0 ✺
15.02.23	Al-Shoalah - Al-Sahel Qatif	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
26.10.22	Al-Shoalah - Al-Qadisiya	0:2
04.05.22	Al-Shoalah - Al-Qadisiya	1:1
15.12.21	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Shoalah	2:1

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