Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 23

Date: 28 February 2023, Tuesday


	Al-Shoalah		Al Akhdoud

	1	X	2
	8.25	4.4	1.31
	7.5	3.9	1.38
	7.9	3.86	1.34
	8.5	4.2	1.29
	9.5	4.6	1.31	Watch
	9.6	4.5	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.54 ↑ (4.49)	4.24 ↑ (2.99)	1.32 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shoalah
10.5%

Draw
21.2%

Al Akhdoud
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

30.4%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

29.5%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shoalah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Shoalah's form might have worsened.

Al Akhdoud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Akhdoud's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shoalah than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Shoalah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Akhdoud, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Al Shoalah - Al Akhdoud Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Al-Shoalah will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Al Akhdoud will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

Al-Shoalah has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Al Akhdoud is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Al Akhdoud is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Al Akhdoud to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Shoalah won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Shoalah won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shoalah Al Kharj
Saudi Division 1
21.02.23	Al-Qaisumah - Al-Shoalah	1:0 ✺
15.02.23	Al-Shoalah - Al-Sahel Qatif	0:1 ✺
06.02.23	Jeddah - Al-Shoalah	1:0 ✺
01.02.23	Al-Shoalah - Hajer	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Al-Orobah - Al-Shoalah	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi Division 1
21.02.23	Al Akhdoud - Al-Jabalain	0:0 ✺
14.02.23	Al-Faisaly - Al Akhdoud	1:3 ✺
08.02.23	Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh	1:2 ✺
02.02.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Akhdoud	1:4 ✺
28.01.23	Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
04.10.22	Al Akhdoud - Al-Shoalah	1:0
23.05.22	Al Akhdoud - Al-Shoalah	1:1
04.01.22	Al-Shoalah - Al Akhdoud	1:2

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