Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 23

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City (Najran)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	BandSports
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	on.cc
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al Akhdoud		Al-Qadisiya

	1	X	2
	8.5	5.25	1.27
	8.4	5.3	1.29
	8.66	5.75	1.3
	8.87	5.61	1.29	Watch
	8.5	4.8	1.25
	9.9	5.35	1.23
	9	5.5	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.83 ↑ (7.71)	5.37 ↑ (5.15)	1.27 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al Akhdoud
10.4%

Draw
17.2%

Al-Qadisiya
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.1%

18.1%

69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6%

17.3%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Al Akhdoud - Al Qadisiya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Al-Qadisiya (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Qadisiya will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Samuel Portugal (G) 21. Abu Abd M. 22. Gunter K. (C) 17. Gul G. 98. Al Qaydhi M. 42. Fagihy M. 13. Bassogog C. 5. Neyou Y. 55. Borrell M. 11. Ince B. 99. Al Lazam K.	1. Casteels K. (G) 23. Al Ahmad W. 6. Fernandez N. (C) 17. Alvarez G. 7. Al Ammar T. 8. Nandez N. 25. Otavio 10. Al Juwayr M. 22. Bonsu Baah C. 33. Quinones J. 32. Retegui M.
Substitutes
14. Al Abbas S. 20. Al Harthi S. M. 12. Al Hatila A. 10. Al Jahif M. 1. Al Najjar R. (G) 8. Al Zabdani H. 15. Asiri N. 93. Nguen T. 19. Salem S.	2. Abu Al Shamat M. 28. Al Kassar A. (G) 9. Al Salem A. 12. Al Shahrani Y. 19. Asiri H. 11. Hazazi A. A. 27. Houssa E. 40. Mahnashi I. 4. Thakri J.
Coaches
Sumudica M.	Rodgers B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Al Ammar T. 🟨,
22', Alvarez G. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Quinones J. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Bassogog C. ⚽, Fagihy M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 1 - 2, Al Ahmad W. ⚽,
64', Al Lazam K. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
67', Otavio ↓, Hazazi A. A. ↑,
67', Al Ammar T. ↓, Abu Al Shamat M. ↑,
71', Abu Abd M. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
71', Fagihy M. ↓, Nguen T. ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Quinones J. ⚽, Abu Al Shamat M. (A),
80', Bonsu Baah C. ↓, Al Shahrani Y. ↑,
80', Retegui M. ↓, Al Salem A. ↑,
86', 2 - 3, Al Hatila A. ⚽,
87', 2 - 4, Quinones J. ⚽,
88', Al Juwayr M. ↓, Mahnashi I. ↑,
90+1', Al Ahmad W. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 1.

Al Akhdoud is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Qadisiya is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al Akhdoud may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Qadisiya is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Qadsiah	8	6	1	1	21:8	13	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi Professional League
12.02.26	Al Hazem - Al Akhdoud	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Hilal	0:6 ✺
02.02.26	Al Akhdoud - Neom	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Al-Taawoun - Al Akhdoud	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al Akhdoud	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTLL
- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League
12.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Neom	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al Fateh	1:1 ✺
03.02.26	Al-Khaleej - Al-Qadisiya	0:1 ✺
29.01.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Hilal	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Al-Najma - Al-Qadisiya	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
25.10.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al Akhdoud	0:0
21.02.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al Akhdoud	2:0
19.09.24	Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya	0:0
Saudi Division 1
28.01.23	Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya	0:0
23.08.22	Al-Qadisiya - Al Akhdoud	1:3
02.02.22	Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya	1:2
22.09.21	Al-Qadisiya - Al Akhdoud	3:1

Upcoming Matches