Match Info

Stars League - Round 37

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday


	Al-Qasim		Najaf

	1	X	2
	4.45	3.55	1.65
	4.37	3.85	1.63
	4.55	4.02	1.6	Watch
	4.6	3.3	1.65
	4.84	3.65	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↑ (4.15)	3.67 ↑ (3.23)	1.63 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Qasim
19.8%

Draw
24.6%

Najaf
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

28.4%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

27.5%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Najaf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Najaf's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qasim than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Al Qasim - Najaf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Basim A. ⚽,
42', Raad Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', Basim A. 🟥,
74', 1 - 1, Cruz W. ⚽,
90+9', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Al-Qasim is Relegated to

Najaf is Relegated to

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Najaf may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Najaf is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Qasim won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Qasim won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qasim SC
Iraqi Premier League
19.05.26	Al-Qasim - Naft Maysan	2:5 ✺
14.05.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Qasim	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Duhok - Al-Qasim	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Minaa	3:3 ✺
02.05.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Qasim	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.9 LTLTT
- Najaf
Iraqi Premier League
24.05.26	Naft Maysan - Najaf	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Najaf - Al-Karkh	2:5 ✺
16.05.26	Zakho - Najaf	1:1 ✺
11.05.26	Najaf - Arbil	1:4 ✺
07.05.26	Najaf - Amanat Baghdad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
05.02.26	Najaf - Al-Qasim	1:1
03.03.25	Al-Qasim - Najaf	1:2
06.12.24	Najaf - Al-Qasim	1:0
15.04.24	Al-Qasim - Najaf	1:2
24.12.23	Najaf - Al-Qasim	1:0

Al-Qasim - Najaf: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide