Match Info

Stars League - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Kurdish


	Najaf		Arbil

	1	X	2
	5.7	3.65	1.5
	5.53	3.78	1.5
	5.8	3.92	1.5	Watch
	6	3.5	1.5
	6.35	3.9	1.45
	5.8	3.7	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.86 ↑ (5.8)	3.74 ↑ (3.7)	1.49 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Najaf
15.4%

Draw
24.1%

Arbil
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

24.4%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

23.8%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Najaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Arbil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Najaf - Arbil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Cabrera M. ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, Temirov S. (Penalty Awarded),
23', 1 - 2, Raheem wali Kenani A. (Penalty Awarded),
39', 1 - 3, Omar A. S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 1 - 4, Temirov S. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Najaf won 0.

Najaf is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arbil is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Najaf has had a series of home games.

In this match, Arbil is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Najaf won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Najaf won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Erbil	8	5	2	1	12:3	9	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Najaf
Iraqi Premier League
07.05.26	Najaf - Amanat Baghdad	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Al-Kahraba - Najaf	Abandoned ✺
27.04.26	Najaf - Duhok	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Najaf - Newroz	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Najaf - Al-Karma	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 T?LWL
- Arbil
Iraqi Premier League
06.05.26	Arbil - Al-Kahraba	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Arbil - Al-Karkh	1:0 ✺
27.04.26	Al-Talaba - Arbil	2:3 ✺
23.04.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Arbil	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Arbil - Al-Qasim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
15.09.25	Arbil - Najaf	3:2
19.02.25	Najaf - Arbil	1:2
30.10.24	Arbil - Najaf	0:0
26.06.24	Arbil - Najaf	1:1
22.02.24	Najaf - Arbil	1:1
15.10.21	Arbil - Najaf	0:0
24.06.19	Arbil - Najaf	0:0

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