Match Info

Stars League - Round 30

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday


	Naft Maysan		Najaf

	1	X	2
	1.88	3	3.75
	1.92	3.05	3.8
	1.83	3.31	3.77
	1.9	3.26	3.87	Watch
	1.85	3	3.8
	1.85	3.43	4.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.79)	3.18 ↓ (3.48)	3.84 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naft Maysan
48.1%

Draw
28.4%

Najaf
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.3%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

25.4%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naft Maysan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Najaf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Maysan than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Naft Maysan - Najaf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Gueye Dieme D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Gueye Dieme D. ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, Ahmed Ali M. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Naft Maysan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Najaf is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Naft Maysan has had a series of away games.

In this match, Naft Maysan is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Naft Maysan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 2.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Naft Maysan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Naft Missan	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naft Maysan
Iraqi Premier League
19.05.26	Al-Qasim - Naft Maysan	2:5 ✺
14.05.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Karma	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Naft	3:0 ✺
05.05.26	Duhok - Naft Maysan	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Zakho - Naft Maysan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWLL
- Najaf
Iraqi Premier League
20.05.26	Najaf - Al-Karkh	2:5 ✺
16.05.26	Zakho - Najaf	1:1 ✺
11.05.26	Najaf - Arbil	1:4 ✺
07.05.26	Najaf - Amanat Baghdad	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Al-Kahraba - Najaf	Abandoned ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTLT?

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
14.01.26	Najaf - Naft Maysan	2:4
28.06.25	Naft Maysan - Najaf	3:1
26.11.24	Najaf - Naft Maysan	4:1
05.07.24	Naft Maysan - Najaf	2:1

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