Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League - Round 23

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1, SSC Sports Extra 2
South-korea	SPOTV Now


	Al Raed		Al-Ettifaq Dammam

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.37
	2.88	3.4	2.48
				Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.3
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.95)	3.3 ↓ (3.6)	2.38 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Raed
33%

Draw
28.1%

Al-Ettifaq Dammam
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

25.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

24.8%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Raed has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Al-Ettifaq Dammam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ettifaq Dammam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Al Raed - Al Ettifaq Dammam Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Ettifaq Dammam will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Sunyur M. (G) 32. Al Dossary M. 21. Gonzalez O. 16. Qasmi A. 12. Al Hawsawi Z. 17. Abeid M. 5. Tweh S. 8. Normann M. 26. Bouzok Y. 11. El Berkaoui K. 15. Al Amri S.	1. Rodak M. (G) 29. Abdulrahman M. 70. Khateeb A. A. 3. Madu A. 18. Costa J. 33. Al Olayan M. 88. Al Malki A. 36. Escobar J. 14. Vitinho 11. Gray D. 21. Radif A.
Substitutes
9. Al Ghamdi R. 28. Al Jayzani H. 30. Al Ohaymid S. (G) 94. Al Rajeh M. 24. Al Subaie K. 4. Hazazi A. 18. Hazazi N. 45. Sunbul Y. 70. Turay M.	46. Al Elewai A. 96. Al Haidari M. (G) 6. Ali M. 61. Al Otaibi R. 87. Al Sibyani M. 24. Bamsaud A. 4. Hendry J. 25. Hindi A. 8. Wijnaldum G.
Coaches
Hellmann O.	Al Shehri S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Normann M. 🟨,
45+3', Abdulrahman M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Abdulrahman M. ↓, Hindi A. ↑,
53', Al Hawsawi Z. 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Normann M. ⚽, Bouzok Y. (A),
69', Escobar J. ↓, Ali M. ↑,
70', Radif A. ↓, Wijnaldum G. ↑,
71', Al Olayan M. 🟨,
72', Madu A. 🟨,
75', Bouzok Y. 🟨,
76', Al Olayan M. ↓, Bamsaud A. ↑,
76', Madu A. ↓, Al Otaibi R. ↑,
87', Normann M. ↓, Hazazi N. ↑,
87', El Berkaoui K. ↓, Sunbul Y. ↑,
90+4', Al Malki A. 🟨,
90+8', Bouzok Y. ↓, Al Subaie K. ↑,
90+9', 1 - 1, Khateeb A. A. ⚽, Costa J. (A),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Raed won 2.

Al Raed is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Ettifaq is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al Raed could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Al Raed won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:28 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Al Raed won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:15 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Raed
Saudi Professional League
25.02.25	Al Raed - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:2 ✺
20.02.25	Al-Riyadh - Al Raed	1:3 ✺
15.02.25	Al Raed - Al-Feiha	0:2 ✺
06.02.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al Raed	2:0 ✺
30.01.25	Al Raed - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLLL
- Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League
26.02.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Taawoun	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:3 ✺
Gulf Club Champions League
18.02.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Qadsia	1:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
14.02.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Fateh	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
03.10.24	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Raed	0:1
27.04.24	Al Raed - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:2
04.11.23	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Raed	0:0
03.03.23	Al Raed - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:2
15.09.22	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Raed	1:2
05.02.22	Al Raed - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:1
12.09.21	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Raed	2:2

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