Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 20

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium (Dammam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	BandSports
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	on.cc
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al-Ettifaq Dammam		Al-Taawoun

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.75
	2.38	3.4	2.72
	2.38	3.58	2.84
	2.33	3.67	2.76	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.63
	2.32	3.32	2.65	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.62)	3.44 ↑ (3.32)	2.72 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ettifaq Dammam
39.3%

Draw
26.8%

Al-Taawoun
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

27.7%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

27.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ettifaq Dammam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Al-Taawoun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Al Ettifaq Dammam - Al Taawoun Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Al-Ettifaq will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Al-Taawoun will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Al-Taawoun (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Ettifaq Dammam will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ettifaq (votes: 3 - 75%). Al-Taawoun (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodak M. (G) 61. Al Otaibi R. 70. Khateeb A. A. 37. Hindi A. 5. Calvo F. 18. Costa J. 7. Ali M. 10. Medran A. 17. Al Ghannam K. 8. Wijnaldum G. 9. Dembele M.	1. Mailson (G) 5. Mahzari M. 55. Al Dossari M. 32. Al Mufarrij M. 2. Al Alaeli M. 6. Victor Hugo 18. El Mahdioui A. 11. Fulgini A. 15. Al Qahtani M. 19. Zambrano C. 20. Biel
Substitutes
60. Abdulrahman N. 29. Al Ghamdi Z. 27. Al Musallam H. 33. Al Olayan M. 12. Dahal A. 22. Hawsawi A. (G) 19. Kouka 3. Madu A. 15. Nkota M.	44. Al Marwani A. 97. Al Rashidi F. 25. Al Senaid A. (G) 28. Al Shaifan T. 13. Atiah A. (G) 29. Bahusayn A. 77. Hawsawi A. 24. Sembene M.
Coaches
Al Shehri S.	Chamusca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Costa J. 🟨,
38', Victor Hugo 🟨,
43', Calvo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Al Otaibi R. ↓, Nkota M. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Wijnaldum G. ⚽,
74', Biel ↓, Al Rashidi F. ↑,
74', Victor Hugo ↓, Bahusayn A. ↑,
78', Al Alaeli M. ↓, Al Marwani A. ↑,
80', Ali M. 🟨,
82', Costa J. ↓, Al Olayan M. ↑,
87', Zambrano C. ↓, Al Karani K. ↑,
88', Al Ghannam K. ↓, Abdulrahman N. ↑,
88', Dembele M. ↓, Kouka ↑,
89', Rodak M. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 5)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ettifaq won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ettifaq won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ettifaq won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.4:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Al Ettifaq	8	3	3	2	12:12	0	12
16	Al Taawon	7	0	3	4	3:12	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Ettifaq Dammam - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.1%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Al-Taawoun - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.18%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League
28.01.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Neom	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:1 ✺
12.01.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Khaleej	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWTWL
- Al-Taawoun FC
Saudi Professional League
30.01.26	Al-Taawoun - Al Akhdoud	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	1:0 ✺
22.01.26	Al-Taawoun - Al Hazem	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	1:3 ✺
14.01.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Taawoun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
18.09.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	4:1
26.02.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Taawoun	1:0
29.09.24	Al-Taawoun - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:1
27.05.24	Al-Taawoun - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:0
16.12.23	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Taawoun	0:2
09.04.23	Al-Taawoun - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:1
16.10.22	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Taawoun	0:1

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