Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 30

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City (Najran)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah
World	Onefootball


	Al Akhdoud		Al-Ettifaq Dammam

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.75
	3.75	3.7	1.87
	3.65	3.7	1.85
	3.98	3.96	1.85
	3.96	3.78	1.83	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.75
	4.14	3.93	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.78)	3.74 ↓ (3.8)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Akhdoud
24.3%

Draw
24.8%

Al-Ettifaq Dammam
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

24.6%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

22.8%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Al-Ettifaq Dammam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

Al Akhdoud - Al Ettifaq Dammam Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Al Akhdoud will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Al-Ettifaq will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ettifaq: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Samuel Portugal (G) 8. Al Zabdani H. (C) 17. Gul G. 22. Gunter K. 42. Fagihy M. 18. Pedroza J. 12. Al Hatila A. 55. Borrell M. 93. Nguen T. 13. Bassogog C. 7. Narey K.	1. Rodak M. (G) 33. Al Olayan M. 70. Khateeb A. A. 5. Calvo F. 18. Costa J. 11. Duda O. 10. Medran A. 15. Nkota M. 8. Wijnaldum G. (C) 17. Al Ghannam K. 9. Dembele M.
Substitutes
21. Abu Abd M. 14. Al Abbas S. 20. Al Harthi S. M. 10. Al Jahif M. 99. Al Lazam K. 1. Al Najjar R. (G) 98. Al Qaydhi M. 15. Asiri N. 19. Salem S.	76. Al Dawaa B. (G) 6. Al Ghamdi F. 29. Al Ghamdi Z. 7. Ali M. 87. Al Sibyani M. 22. Hawswi (G) 37. Hindi A. 24. Jalal Al Salem 3. Madu A.
Coaches
Al Jabal F.	Al Shehri S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Calvo F. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Medran A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', Nkota M. 🟨,
54', 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Pedroza J. ⚽, Narey K. (A),
61', Duda O. ↓, Ali M. ↑,
64', Nguen T. ↓, Al Lazam K. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Al Ghannam K. ⚽,
80', 1 - 3, Wijnaldum G. ⚽, Al Ghannam K. (A),
84', Pedroza J. ↓, Al Qaydhi M. ↑,
84', Al Zabdani H. ↓, Abu Abd M. ↑,
84', Gul G. ↓, Al Harthi S. M. ↑,
84', Fagihy M. ↓, Al Jahif M. ↑,
90+1', Al Ghannam K. ↓, Jalal Al Salem ↑,
90+1', Dembele M. ↓, Al Ghamdi F. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 7).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Al-Ettifaq may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Ettifaq is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Al Ettifaq	8	3	3	2	12:12	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi Professional League
23.04.26	Damac - Al Akhdoud	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Al Akhdoud - Al Fateh	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Feiha	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLL
- Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League
15.04.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:0 ✺
09.04.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Riyadh	2:3 ✺
05.04.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Qadisiya	3:2 ✺
13.03.26	Al-Feiha - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
02.01.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Akhdoud	2:0
08.02.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:2
28.08.24	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Akhdoud	1:0
17.05.24	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Akhdoud	1:1
02.12.23	Al Akhdoud - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:0

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