Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 11

Date: 25 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah 2, Thmanyah


	Al-Riyadh		Al-Ettifaq Dammam

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.15
	3	3.3	2.22
	3.12	3.45	2.22
	3.03	3.69	2.16	Watch
	2.88	3.25	2.15
	3.08	3.28	2.13	Watch
	3	3.6	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.06)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	2.17 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Riyadh
30.4%

Draw
27.1%

Al-Ettifaq Dammam
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

27.5%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Al-Ettifaq Dammam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

Al Riyadh - Al Ettifaq Dammam Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Al-Riyadh will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Al-Ettifaq will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ettifaq: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Riyadh (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Al-Ettifaq (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
82. Borjan M. (C) 12. Hazazi S. 23. Al Khaibari M. 5. Barbet Y. 17. Hassoun A. 8. Bayesh I. 20. Toze 10. Okou T. 87. Tambakti M. H. 9. Sylla M. 19. Soro I.	1. Rodak M. (G) 70. Khateeb A. A. 4. Hendry J. 37. Hindi A. 5. Calvo F. 11. Duda O. 10. Medran A. 19. Kouka 8. Wijnaldum G. (C) 77. Dawran M. M. Y. 9. Dembele M.
Substitutes
18. Al Asbahi K. 15. Al Bishi N. 7. Al Boardi O. 33. Al Harfi A. 22. Al Shammari A. (G) 88. Al Shehri Y. 44. Al Tumbukti S. 32. Ramirez L. 16. Sahlouli M.	6. Al Ghamdi F. 29. Al Ghamdi Z. 17. Al Ghannam K. 7. Ali M. 33. Al Olayan M. 87. Al Sibyani M. 22. Hawsawi A. (G) 24. Jalal Al Salem 3. Madu A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Hendry J. 🟨,
44', Bayesh I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Al Khaibari M. 🟥,
65', Dawran M. M. Y. ↓, Al Ghannam K. ↑,
77', Duda O. ↓, Ali M. ↑,
77', Kouka ↓, Al Ghamdi Z. ↑,
79', Okou T. ↓, Al Tumbukti S. ↑,
87', Toze ↓, Al Shehri Y. ↑,
87', Hassoun A. ↓, Al Boardi O. ↑,
90', 0 - 1, Calvo F. ⚽, Medran A. (A),
90+5', 0 - 2, Wijnaldum G. ⚽, Al Ghannam K. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 1.

Al-Ettifaq is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Riyadh won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Riyadh SC
Saudi Professional League
21.11.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Riyadh	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Al-Riyadh - Damac	1:1 ✺
30.10.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Riyadh	1:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
27.10.25	Al Fateh - Al-Riyadh	2:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
23.10.25	Al-Riyadh - Al-Kholood	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTTLW
- Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League
22.11.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Feiha	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Hazem	2:2 ✺
24.10.25	Al Fateh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Hilal	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
17.04.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Riyadh	1:0
24.11.24	Al-Riyadh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:0
06.04.24	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Riyadh	1:0
22.10.23	Al-Riyadh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:0
Saudi Division 1
01.01.16	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Riyadh	1:1
28.08.15	Al-Riyadh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:0
06.02.15	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Riyadh	1:2

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