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Current Win Probability
Al-Riyadh 46.5%
Draw 27.5%
Damac 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
26.5%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
25.4%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Riyadh's performance.
Damac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Damac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Riyadh that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damac than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.9%
9.1%
0%
Al Riyadh - Damac Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Al-Riyadh will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Riyadh: 73.9% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Riyadh will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
82. Borjan M. (C) 7. Al Boardi O. 23. Al Khaibari M. 5. Barbet Y. 12. Hazazi S. 4. Gonzalez S. 20. Toze 10. Okou T. 16. Sahlouli M. 9. Sylla M. 90. Haji T.
1. Kewin (G) 22. Al Khaibre A. R. 5. Rabea H. 15. Harkass J. 20. Al Anazi D. (C) 2. Sylla M. 26. Sharahili R. 8. Vada V. 77. David Kaiki 80. Naji Y. 28. Medina J.
Substitutes
11. Al Absi K. 18. Al Asbahi K. 33. Al Harfi A. 2. Al Saeed M. 22. Al Shammari A. (G) 88. Al Shehri Y. 44. Al Tumbukti S. 19. Soro I. 87. Tambakti M. H.
6. Abdullah T. 33. Al Baqaawi M. (G) 90. Al Ghamdi H. 23. Al Hassan J. 12. Al Hawsawi S. 10. Alioui N. 13. Al Obaid A. 7. Al Qahtani A. 88. Al Samiri K.
Coaches
Calleja J.
Evangelista A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Al Boardi O. 🟨,
11', Sharahili R. ↓, Al Qahtani A. ↑,
24', 1 - 0, Gonzalez S. ⚽, Toze (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Sylla M. 🟨,
60', Rabea H. 🟨,
64', Haji T. ↓, Al Tumbukti S. ↑,
64', Naji Y. ↓, Al Ghamdi H. ↑,
73', Rabea H. ↓, Alioui N. ↑,
74', Sahlouli M. 🟨,
76', Sahlouli M. ↓, Al Harfi A. ↑,
76', Al Boardi O. ↓, Al Absi K. ↑,
77', Al Anazi D. 🟨,
77', Al Harfi A. 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Vada V. (Pen),
90+2', Okou T. ↓, Al Shehri Y. ↑,
90+2', Gonzalez S. ↓, Al Asbahi K. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 2.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Damac may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Al-Riyadh could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Riyadh won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
Asia
China
Saudi-arabia
Watch
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Borjan M. (C) 
Al Boardi O. 
Barbet Y. 
Gonzalez S. 
Toze 
Sylla M. 
Kewin (G) 
Harkass J. 
Sylla M. 
Vada V. 
Medina J. 
Al Asbahi K. 
Soro I. 
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