The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Riyadh 48.4%
Draw 24.4%
Al Fateh 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
25.7%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
25%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Riyadh's performance.
Al Fateh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Fateh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Riyadh that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Fateh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al Riyadh - Al Fateh Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
82. Borjan M. (C) 87. Tambakti M. H. 27. Lekhal V. 5. Barbet Y. 12. Hazazi S. 10. Okou T. 4. Gonzalez S. 77. Antunes L. 35. Al Siyahi A. 20. Toze 9. Sylla M.
1. Pacheco F. (G) 4. Al Jari Z. 44. Fernandes J. 50. Qasheesh M. 15. Baattia S. 33. Youssouf Z. 10. Vargas M. 28. Bendebka S. 23. Wesley Delgado 11. Batna M. (C) 27. Al Zubaidi F.
Substitutes
11. Al Absi K. 7. Al Boardi O. 33. Al Harfi A. 22. Al Shammari A. (G) 88. Al Shehri Y. 14. Al Shubili T. 94. Al Sobhi F. 45. Bahri E. H. A. 99. Haroun S.
24. Al Aboud M. 94. Al Anazi A. 97. Al Bukhari A. (G) 25. Al Sahihi M. 49. Al Sharfa S. 78. Al Swealem A. 87. Bin Mahmoud 12. Qasim H. 70. Refaat M.
Coaches
Dulac M.
Gomes J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Baattia S. 🟨,
17', Wesley Delgado 🟨,
29', Barbet Y. 🟨,
42', Fernandes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wesley Delgado ↓, Al Anazi A. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Sylla M. ⚽, Okou T. (A),
67', Toze 🟨,
68', Vargas M. ↓, Al Aboud M. ↑,
68', Baattia S. ↓, Bin Mahmoud ↑,
79', Sylla M. ↓, Al Harfi A. ↑,
81', Bendebka S. ↓, Al Sharfa S. ↑,
86', Okou T. 🟨,
89', Okou T. ↓, Bahri E. H. A. ↑,
89', Fernandes J. ↓, Refaat M. ↑,
90+4', Al Anazi A. 🟨,
90+6', Antunes L. ↓, Haroun S. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 1.
Al-Riyadh is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Al Fateh has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Al Fateh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Al-Riyadh is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Riyadh won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Asia
Brazil
Saudi-arabia
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Borjan M. (C) 
Tambakti M. H. 
Lekhal V. 
Barbet Y. 
Gonzalez S. 
Antunes L. 
Sylla M. 
Youssouf Z. 
Vargas M. 
Wesley Delgado 
Batna M. (C) 
Refaat M. 
Dulac M. 
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