The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Riyadh 33.7%
Draw 28.7%
Al-Taawoun 37.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.3%
26.4%
48.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.8%
26.3%
47.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Riyadh's performance.
Al-Taawoun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Taawoun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Riyadh that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Taawoun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Al Riyadh - Al Taawoun Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Al-Taawoun will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
82. Borjan M. (C) 32. Dahal A. 5. Majrashi H. 26. Abascal R. 23. Qasim H. 43. Mensah B. 6. Keita K. 22. Lekhal V. 10. Okou T. 19. Al Shurafa H. 7. Trezeguet
1. Mailson (G) 6. Al Hurayji B. 4. Al Haleel N. 5. Belaid Z. 40. Mahnashi I. 88. Petkov M. 7. Al Kuwaykibi M. 16. Al Ghamdi F. 18. El Mahdioui A. (C) 8. Guiagon P. 9. Hamdallah A.
Substitutes
11. Al Ali H. 76. Al Anazi A. 13. Al Boardi O. 20. Al-Harthi B. 79. Al Jayzani F. 3. Al Musa Y. 17. Al Raqwani H. 12. Hazazi S. 28. Petek J. (G)
17. Al Aqel M. S. M. 30. Al Jadani A. (G) 45. Al Saedi M. 93. Al Saluli A. 23. Al Tulayhi R. 10. Bajrami N. 47. El Bahraoui Y. 63. Fallatah A. 87. Sharahili A.
Coaches
Dulac M.
Rasovic V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Al Hurayji B. 🟨,
17', Al Shurafa H. ↓, Al Ali H. ↑,
39', 1 - 0, Okou T. ⚽, Mensah B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Al Hurayji B. ↓, El Bahraoui Y. ↑,
68', Dahal A. ↓, Al Jayzani F. ↑,
72', Al Kuwaykibi M. ↓, Al Tulayhi R. ↑,
72', Al Haleel N. ↓, Al Saedi M. ↑,
72', Guiagon P. ↓, Bajrami N. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Mensah B. ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, Bajrami N. ⚽,
86', Okou T. ↓, Al Boardi O. ↑,
90', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Al Aqel M. S. M. ↑,
90+3', Mahnashi I. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 13th and 17th in the Relegation - Division 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Al-Taawoun may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Al-Riyadh has faced a series of away games on the road.
Al-Taawoun is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Al-Riyadh has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:8 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Riyadh against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 0.7:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Al Riyadh
11
3
3
5
11:25
-14
12
17
Al Taawon
11
0
4
7
5:19
-14
4
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Taawoun - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 48.24%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.