Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 16

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al-Riyadh		Al-Taawoun

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.75
	3.95	3.55	1.82
	3.93	3.84	1.82	Watch
	3.7	3.3	1.8
	3.99	3.48	1.78	Watch
	4	3.6	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.81)	3.55 ↓ (3.86)	1.8 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al-Riyadh
23.5%

Draw
25.8%

Al-Taawoun
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

24.2%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

23.5%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Al-Taawoun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Al Riyadh - Al Taawoun Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Taawoun (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Taawoun will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
82. Borjan M. (C) 33. Al Harfi A. 23. Al Khaibari M. 5. Barbet Y. 7. Al Boardi O. 8. Bayesh I. 19. Soro I. 20. Toze 12. Hazazi S. 9. Sylla M. 99. Harun S.	1. Mailson (G) 5. Mahzari M. 32. Al Mufarrij M. 23. Al Ahmad W. 3. Andrei Girotto 6. Victor Hugo 18. El Mahdioui A. (C) 11. Fulgini A. 7. Al Kuwaykibi M. 10. Martinez Tobinson R. B. 19. Zambrano C.
Substitutes
11. Al Absi K. 22. Al Shammari A. (G) 88. Al Shehri Y. 14. Al Shubili T. 45. Bahri E. H. A. 17. Hassoun A. 32. Ramirez L. 16. Sahlouli M. 87. Tambakti M. H.	9. Adam A. 2. Al Alaeli M. 17. Al Aqel M. S. M. 55. Al Dossari M. 66. Al Hurayji B. 15. Al Qahtani M. 13. Atiah A. (G) 29. Bahusayn A. 24. Sembene M.
Coaches
Carreno D.	Chamusca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Martinez Tobinson R. B. ⚽, Al Kuwaykibi M. (A),
17', Al Harfi A. 🟨,
21', Harun S. 🟨,
23', Al Mufarrij M. 🟨,
30', Al Ahmad W. 🟨,
34', Victor Hugo 🟨,
41', Andrei Girotto ↓, Al Dossari M. ↑,
41', Al Mufarrij M. 🟨,
45+8', 0 - 2, Martinez Tobinson R. B. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Al Harfi A. ↓, Al Shehri Y. ↑,
46', Zambrano C. ↓, Al Hurayji B. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Toze ⚽, Barbet Y. (A),
66', 1 - 3, Martinez Tobinson R. B. ⚽, Fulgini A. (A),
70', Al Kuwaykibi M. ↓, Sembene M. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 4).

Al-Riyadh is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Taawoun's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Taawoun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Al-Taawoun could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Riyadh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Al Riyadh	7	2	2	3	8:16	-8	8
16	Al Taawon	7	0	3	4	3:12	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Riyadh SC
Saudi Professional League
13.01.26	Al Fateh - Al-Riyadh	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Feiha	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Riyadh	4:0 ✺
29.12.25	Al-Riyadh - Al Hazem	1:2 ✺
25.12.25	Al-Riyadh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLL
- Al-Taawoun FC
Saudi Professional League
14.01.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Taawoun	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Taawoun	1:0 ✺
29.12.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Najma	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Taawoun	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
20.05.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Riyadh	3:2
21.01.25	Al-Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	1:0
09.05.24	Al-Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	0:0
24.11.23	Al-Taawoun - Al-Riyadh	1:2

Upcoming Matches