Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start
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South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Al-Sadd		Al-Ahli Jeddah

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.25	4.05	1.65	Watch
	4.9	4.49	1.61
	3.99	3.91	1.73	Watch
	4.71	4.19	1.68	Watch
	4.18	4	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (3.99)	4.13 ↑ (3.91)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Sadd
21.3%

Draw
22.8%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

23.6%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

23%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Sadd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Al Sadd - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Al-Ahli (1.83) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 8 - 80%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Barsham M. (G) 37. Suhail A. 5. Salman T. 29. Saiss R. 6. Paulo Otavio 21. Giovani 4. Camara M. 33. Claudinho 9. Roberto Firmino (C) 7. Afif A. 19. Mujica R.	16. Mendy E. (C) 27. Majrashi A. 5. Sulaiman M. 3. Ibanez 32. Dams M. 6. Atangana V. 79. Kessie F. 7. Mahrez R. 10. Millot E. 20. Matheus Goncalves 9. Al Buraikan F.
Substitutes
31. Abdullla Y. (G) 10. Al Haydos H. 23. Ali H. 1. Al Sheeb S. (G) 8. Asad A. 20. Atal Y. 18. Guilherme 16. Khoukhi B. 14. Meshaal M. 26. Prim P. 80. Soria A. 11. Waad M.	62. Abdo A. (G) 29. Abdulrahman M. 47. Abu Al Shamat S. 30. Al Johani Z. 88. Al Khaibari A. I. 14. Al Muwallad E. 19. Al Rashidi F. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 13. Galeno 60. Madani Y. 17. Toney I.
Coaches
Alegre S.	Jaissle M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Dams M. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Mahrez R. ⚽, Millot E. (A),
40', Suhail A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Giovani ↓, Atal Y. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Claudinho ⚽, Afif A. (A),
66', Millot E. ↓, Galeno ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Matheus Goncalves ⚽, Galeno (A),
70', Ibanez 🟨,
78', Mahrez R. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
79', Camara M. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
88', Majrashi A. 🟨,
90+5', Matheus Goncalves ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
90+8', Afif A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Al-Sadd is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Ahli is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Sadd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Al-Sadd has had a series of home games.

In this match, Al-Ahli is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Sadd won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Sadd won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Sadd SC
Qatar QSL
30.10.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Rayyan	5:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
28.10.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Shahania	1:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
25.10.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Arabi Doha	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
21.10.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Sadd	3:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
19.10.25	Al-Sadd - Umm-Salal	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL
- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
30.10.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Riyadh	1:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
27.10.25	Al-Batin - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:3 ✺
Saudi Professional League
23.10.25	Al-Najma - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
20.10.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa	4:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
17.10.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
03.02.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:3
06.05.19	Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:1
05.03.19	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Sadd	2:0
14.05.18	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Sadd	2:2
07.05.18	Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:1

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