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Current Win Probability
Esteghlal 46.6%
Draw 33.7%
Malavan 19.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.7%
25.6%
12.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.8%
24.8%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esteghlal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Esteghlal's form might have worsened.
Malavan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Malavan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (+17.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esteghlal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malavan than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Malavan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70%
30%
0%
Esteghlal - Malavan Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Esteghlal will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Esteghlal: 41.6% โ 98.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Esteghlal will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Adan A. (G) 2. Hardani S. 19. Fallah S. 5. Ashurmatov R. 27. Goudarzi H. 22. Ndong D. 8. Razzaghinia A. 70. Asani J. 17. Munir El Haddadi 20. Koushki A. 11. Saharkhizan S.
98. Tayebipour F. (G) 2. Touranian S. 24. Eiri D. 4. Karami A. 77. Safarzadeh A. 20. Papi M. 88. Jafari F. 8. Sabet Imani G. 90. Sadeghi H. 13. Alinejad M. 99. Ramezani A.
Substitutes
7. Azadi M. R. 4. Cheshmi R. 12. Djenepo M. 80. Eslami M. 76. Farabbasi H. (G) 55. Gholami A. 87. Gholizadeh E. 60. Hosseinifar S. (G) 33. Jalali A. 10. Rezaeian R. 15. Zamani A.
7. Ashouri S. 30. Beheshti M. 10. Eslamikhah G. 5. Karimi S. 6. Khadempour S. 27. Salmani J. 29. Savaed A. 12. Sedaghat A. (G) 19. Yahyazadeh S. 26. Zahmatkesh M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Ashurmatov R. ⚽, Hardani S. (A),
40', Safarzadeh A. 🟨,
41', Koushki A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Sabet Imani G. ↓, Eslamikhah G. ↑,
58', Touranian S. ↓, Beheshti M. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Alinejad M. ⚽, Sadeghi H. (A),
68', Saharkhizan S. ↓, Azadi M. R. ↑,
68', Fallah S. ↓, Gholami A. ↑,
71', Munir El Haddadi 🟨,
75', Jafari F. ↓, Khadempour S. ↑,
78', Razzaghinia A. ↓, Gholizadeh E. ↑,
79', Alinejad M. ↓, Ashouri S. ↑,
79', Ramezani A. ↓, Savaed A. ↑,
90+2', Asani J. ↓, Eslami M. ↑,
90+2', Koushki A. ↓, Djenepo M. ↑,
90+6', Tayebipour F. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 2.
Esteghlal is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, Malavan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Esteghlal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Esteghlal is seen as the favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:13. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Esteghlal won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:4. (average 1.6:0.4).
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Adan A. (G) 
Hardani S. 
Ashurmatov R. 
Ndong D. 
Asani J. 
Munir El Haddadi 
Djenepo M. 
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