Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 17

Date: 10 January 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Al-Safa		Al-Qadisiya

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.55
	5	3.75	1.57
	5.09	3.9	1.62
	5.14	3.9	1.61
	5	3.75	1.44
	5.37	3.96	1.53	Watch
	4.9	3.85	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↓ (7.32)	3.84 ↓ (4.5)	1.56 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Safa
18%

Draw
23.6%

Al-Qadisiya
58.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.4%

20.1%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

19.7%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Safa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Safa's performance.

Al-Qadisiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Qadisiya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Safa than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Safa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Qadisiya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Al Safa - Al Qadisiya Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Al-Safa will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

Al-Safa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Qadisiya is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Al-Safa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al-Qadisiya is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Safa Saudi
Saudi Division 1
01.01.24	Al-Kholood - Al-Safa	2:1 ✺
26.12.23	Al-Jabalain - Al-Safa	4:1 ✺
20.12.23	Al-Safa - Al-Najma	1:1 ✺
13.12.23	Jeddah - Al-Safa	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Al-Safa - Ohud Medina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTTL
- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Division 1
03.01.24	Al-Qadisiya - Hajer	3:0 ✺
25.12.23	Al-Najma - Al-Qadisiya	0:3 ✺
18.12.23	Al-Qadisiya - Ohud Medina	1:1 ✺
11.12.23	Al-Qaisumah - Al-Qadisiya	0:4 ✺
04.12.23	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Bukayriyah	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Safa Saudi
Saudi Division 2
28.10.26	Al Qwarah - Al-Safa	✺
- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League
29.10.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	✺

Al-Safa - Al-Qadisiya