Match Info

QSL Cup - Round 3

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Al Bayt Stadium (Al Khor)


	Al-Shamal		Al Bidda

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.8	3.8
	1.66	3.9	4.27
	1.93	3.88	3.27	Watch
	1.75	3.62	4.01
	1.62	3.7	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.51)	3.78 ↓ (4.3)	3.93 ↓ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shamal
52.7%

Draw
24.1%

Al Bidda
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

21.4%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

20.9%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shamal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Shamal's form might have worsened.

Al Bidda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Bidda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Shamal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Bidda than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Bidda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al Shamal - Al Bidda Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Al Bidda (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Al-Shamal (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Al Bidda (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Shamal (votes: 1 - 25%). Al Bidda (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 2 - 2, ⚽,
72', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Al-Shamal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Al-Shamal might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shamal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shamal SC
Qatar QSL
27.09.25	Qatar SC - Al-Shamal	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
23.09.25	Al-Shahania - Al-Shamal	0:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
20.09.25	Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Al-Shamal - Al-Arabi Doha	3:2 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
03.09.25	Al-Shamal - Umm-Salal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTTWL
- Al Bidda SC
Qatar QSL Cup
22.09.25	Al Bidda - Al-Sadd	3:1 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
17.09.25	Al Bidda - Al-Mesaimeer	2:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
03.09.25	Al-Khor - Al Bidda	3:0 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
26.08.25	Al Bidda - Al-Markhiya	0:3 ✺
19.08.25	Al-Kharitiyath - Al Bidda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QFA Cup
03.04.22	Al Bidda - Al-Shamal	0:3
Qatar QSL 2
25.02.21	Al-Shamal - Al Bidda	0:0
05.01.21	Al Bidda - Al-Shamal	0:2 ET
12.12.20	Al Bidda - Al-Shamal	1:2
19.02.20	Al Bidda - Al-Shamal	2:1
10.11.19	Al-Shamal - Al Bidda	0:1
21.02.19	Al-Shamal - Al Bidda	3:0

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