Match Info

QSL - Round 14

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Al Bayt Stadium (Al Khor)

Referee: Al Jassim A. (Qat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Qatar	Al Kass One, Shoof


	Al-Shamal		Al-Sailiya

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.15	4.75
	1.64	4.38	4.91
	1.55	4.52	4.88	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4.33
	1.66	4.02	4.58	Watch
	1.55	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.47)	4.2 ↓ (4.32)	4.74 ↓ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shamal
58.3%

Draw
22.1%

Al-Sailiya
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

21.1%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

19%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shamal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Al-Sailiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Sailiya than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Al Shamal - Al Sailiya Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Shamal will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Seck B. (G) 70. Khoder M. 73. Waad M. 81. Bounacer A. 2. Awad M. 6. Ebrahimi O. 10. Ounas A. 8. Collado A. 12. Al Mannai M. 7. Mohamed O. 11. Bounedjah B. (C)	26. Younes F. (G) 11. Tabasideh H. (C) 55. van der Kaap K. 25. Nani M. 6. Al Bistamy M. 13. Amaro D. 5. Mohamed A. 20. Ali 9. Belhanda Y. 15. Snana Y. 18. Olwan A.
Substitutes
14. Ali O. 78. Al Saeed A. 18. Al Sulimane A. 19. Azadi F. 30. Barry O. (G) 45. El Rady A. (G) 32. Majed I. 24. Murillo J. 16. Prim P. 17. Seyam T. 5. Sliti N. 72. Tawfik A.	33. Al Omari A. 10. Al Sebai A. 99. Al Sufiani S. 16. Al Tairi O. 37. Anani Y. Z. 21. Bahzad H. 3. Holgate M. 31. Kone A. (G) 67. Osman M. 50. Sayed Y. M. (G) 4. Yahya O. 34. Yasser M.
Coaches
Prats D.	Al Zein M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Bounedjah B. 🟨,
28', Younes F. 🟨,
30', Bounedjah B. (Penalty Awarded),
31', Mohamed A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ounas A. ↓, Sliti N. ↑,
60', Belhanda Y. 🟨,
63', Mohamed O. ↓, Tawfik A. ↑,
64', van der Kaap K. 🟨,
72', Tabasideh H. ↓, Al Sufiani S. ↑,
76', Belhanda Y. 🟨,
77', Ebrahimi O. ↓, Prim P. ↑,
78', Bounacer A. 🟨,
86', Sliti N. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
89', Ali ↓, Al Tairi O. ↑,
90+3', Waad M. 🟨,
90+5', Waad M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Al-Shamal has had a series of away games.

Recently, Al-Sailiya has had a series of home games.

In this match, Al-Shamal is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shamal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1.5:3.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Shamal	4	2	2	0	10:6	4	8
12	Al Sailiya	4	0	0	4	5:13	-8	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shamal SC
Qatar QSL Cup
27.01.26	Al-Shahania - Al-Shamal	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	Al-Kharitiyath - Al-Shamal	1:4 ✺
Qatar QSL
17.01.26	Al-Rayyan - Al-Shamal	0:1 ✺
07.01.26	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Shamal	4:2 ✺
29.12.25	Al-Shamal - Al-Sadd	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWLL
- Al-Sailiya
Qatar QSL Cup
27.01.26	Al-Sailiya - Al Bidda	1:3 ✺
19.01.26	Al-Sailiya - Al-Ahli Doha	2:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
17.01.26	Al-Sailiya - Qatar SC	2:1 ✺
Qatar Emir Cup
10.01.26	Al-Sailiya - Muaither	2:1 penalties ✺
Qatar QSL
06.01.26	Al-Sailiya - Al-Rayyan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL
30.08.25	Al-Sailiya - Al-Shamal	1:2
05.02.23	Al-Shamal - Al-Sailiya	0:5
10.08.22	Al-Sailiya - Al-Shamal	2:1
Qatar QFA Cup
13.04.22	Al-Shamal - Al-Sailiya	2:3
Qatar QSL
07.01.22	Al-Sailiya - Al-Shamal	0:2
16.09.21	Al-Shamal - Al-Sailiya	2:3
Qatar QFA Cup
29.04.21	Al-Sailiya - Al-Shamal	4:2

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