Match Info

QSL - Round 17

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Thani bin Jassim Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Qatar	Shoof


	Umm-Salal		Al-Wakrah

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	1.9
	3.78	4.06	1.85
	4.12	4.16	1.7	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.83
	3.56	3.87	1.89	Watch
	3.25	3.5	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↓ (3.63)	3.8 ↑ (3.77)	1.84 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umm-Salal
25.5%

Draw
24.3%

Al-Wakrah
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

24.7%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

24.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umm-Salal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Al-Wakrah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Al-Wakrah aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Umm Salal - Al Wakrah Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Umm-Salal will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Al-Wakrah will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ashour L. (G) 15. Tahif A. 22. Udosen E. 37. Diallo A. 2. Fayez A. 8. Al Hajri S. 32. El Sayed A. 3. Hazaa A. 14. Tannane O. (C) 9. Mance A. 33. Cristo	22. Al Khater S. (C) 16. Erfan N. 28. Lucas Verissimo 15. Ali A. 3. Hassan A. 8. Fathy H. 4. Saei A. 7. Assal A. 32. Luis Alberto 75. Zouhzouh A. 11. Berkane R.
Substitutes
6. Aholou J. 12. Al Bahnasawi W. 11. Al Shammari M. 10. Baidoo M. 27. Haroon D. 4. Issa S. 40. Khaled M. 17. Kouassi J. E. 7. Mansour K. 30. Mohammad J. (G) 21. Saad K. 5. Said F.	13. Abdurisag Y. 1. Al Bakri M. (G) 14. Al Muhaza T. 20. Al Yazidi N. 5. Fadel A. 33. Hassan M. 21. Muneer K. 24. Naji M. 9. Njie Y. 6. Salah O. 40. Valentin G. 47. Waad F.
Coaches
Albes R.	Moreno V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Assal A. ↓, Salah O. ↑,
15', Saei A. ↓, Abdurisag Y. ↑,
18', 0 - 1, Abdurisag Y. ⚽, Zouhzouh A. (A),
31', Cristo 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Fayez A. ⚽, Cristo (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Fathy H. 🟨,
57', Fayez A. 🟨,
62', Al Hajri S. ↓, Aholou J. ↑,
62', Mance A. ↓, Khaled M. ↑,
65', Hassan A. ↓, Naji M. ↑,
65', Zouhzouh A. ↓, Valentin G. ↑,
72', Salah O. 🟨,
73', 2 - 1, Tannane O. ⚽,
77', Cristo ↓, Baidoo M. ↑,
78', Lucas Verissimo ↓, Njie Y. ↑,
85', El Sayed A. ↓, Said F. ↑,
87', Ashour L. 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, Berkane R. ⚽, Luis Alberto (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone QSL (Relegation) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Al-Wakrah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Al-Wakrah has had a series of home games.

Al-Wakrah will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 31:39. (average 1.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Umm-Salal won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.6:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Al Wakrah	4	0	2	2	4:9	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umm-Salal SC
Qatar QSL
20.02.26	Al-Sailiya - Umm-Salal	0:1 ✺
Qatar Emir Cup
15.02.26	Al-Ahli Doha - Umm-Salal	2:4 ✺
Qatar QSL
04.02.26	Umm-Salal - Al Duhail	2:1 ✺
29.01.26	Umm-Salal - Al-Arabi Doha	2:4 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
19.01.26	Umm-Salal - Al Duhail	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWWLW
- Al-Wakrah SC
Qatar QSL
22.02.26	Al-Wakrah - Al-Sadd	1:3 ✺
Qatar Emir Cup
12.02.26	Al-Wakrah - Al-Sailiya	2:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
06.02.26	Al-Wakrah - Al-Ahli Doha	3:2 ✺
29.01.26	Al-Wakrah - Al-Shahania	4:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
20.01.26	Al-Markhiya - Al-Wakrah	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL Cup
16.11.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Wakrah	3:1
Qatar QSL
26.09.25	Al-Wakrah - Umm-Salal	3:2
Qatar Emir Cup
07.05.25	Al-Wakrah - Umm-Salal	1:4
Qatar QSL
04.04.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Wakrah	0:1
01.11.24	Al-Wakrah - Umm-Salal	3:0
Qatar QSL Cup
12.10.24	Al-Wakrah - Umm-Salal	2:0
Qatar QSL
16.03.24	Umm-Salal - Al-Wakrah	0:2

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