Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 22

Date: 20 February 2023, Monday


	Najran		Al-Riyadh

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.5	1.58
	5.15	3.3	1.63
	5.43	3.49	1.63
	5.5	3.25	1.55
	5.7	3.55	1.59	Watch
	5	3.55	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.26 ↑ (4.19)	3.44 ↑ (3.04)	1.6 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Najran
17.2%

Draw
26.3%

Al-Riyadh
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

30%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

29%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Najran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Al-Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Riyadh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Najran than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Riyadh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Najran - Al Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Najran will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Al-Riyadh will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Riyadh: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

Najran is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Riyadh in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Al-Riyadh is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Najran won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Najran SC
Saudi Division 1
13.02.23	Al-Jabalain - Najran	1:1 ✺
07.02.23	Najran - Al Hazem	0:3 ✺
02.02.23	Al-Qadisiya - Najran	1:2 ✺
27.01.23	Najran - Ohud Medina	0:2 ✺
18.01.23	Najran - Al Akhdoud	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TLWLL
- Al-Riyadh SC
Saudi Division 1
14.02.23	Al-Riyadh - Hajer	2:1 ✺
08.02.23	Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh	1:2 ✺
31.01.23	Al-Riyadh - Al-Kholood	1:1 ✺
27.01.23	Al-Faisaly - Al-Riyadh	0:1 ✺
16.01.23	Al-Riyadh - Al-Qaisumah	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
17.09.22	Al-Riyadh - Najran	3:2

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