Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 1

Date: 16 September 2024, Monday

Location: Karbala International Stadium (Karbala)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra, Triller TV+
Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Sport 1+
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Israel	Sport 3
Mexico	ESPN
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4
North-central-america	ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	Canal 11
Slovenia	Sportklub
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+


	Al-Shorta		Al-Nassr Riyadh

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.25	4.2	1.55
	5	4.5	1.53
	5.37	4.37	1.56
	5.38	4.32	1.54
	6	4.33	1.44	Watch
	5.85	4.4	1.53
	5	4.33	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.41 ↓ (9.4)	4.35 ↓ (5)	1.53 ↑ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shorta
17.3%

Draw
21.5%

Al-Nassr Riyadh
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.7%

18.2%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shorta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Shorta's performance.

Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Nassr Riyadh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Al Shorta - Al Nassr Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Basil A. (C) 24. Faisal Jasim 4. Al Tekreeti M. Y. H. 15. Yahia Alwan A. 36. Bindjeme II S. 11. Shakir B. 25. Qasim A. 9. Ali H. 30. Youssef F. 7. Al Mawas M. 29. Mohammed Dawood	24. Bento (G) 2. Al Ghannam S. (C) 78. Lajami A. 3. Simakan M. 83. Al Najdi S. 11. Brozovic M. 6. Ali M. 10. Mane S. 25. Otavio 29. Ghareeb A. 94. Talisca A.
Substitutes
21. Ahmed H. (G) 18. Ali M. 5. Amin R. 10. Farhan A. 6. Jassem S. 22. Kareem M. (G) 27. Khudhair A. S. 28. Lucas Esquerdinha 12. Raed H. 8. Rahman A. 14. Soumana M. 31. Zero A.	4. Al Fatil M. 19. Al Hassan A. 17. Al Khaibari A. 36. Al Najjar R. (G) 20. Angelo 12. Boushal N. 61. Buainain M. 16. Maran M. 80. Wesley
Coaches
Salah Alwan A.	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Al Ghannam S. ⚽, Otavio (A),
24', 1 - 1, Mohammed Dawood ⚽, Ali H. (A),
40', Simakan M. 🟨,
45+3', Al Najdi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ghareeb A. ↓, Angelo ↑,
53', Brozovic M. ↓, Al Khaibari A. ↑,
65', Al Mawas M. ↓, Ali M. ↑,
65', Ali H. ↓, Lucas Esquerdinha ↑,
69', Mane S. ↓, Wesley ↑,
69', Al Najdi S. ↓, Boushal N. ↑,
79', Faisal Jasim ↓, Khudhair A. S. ↑,
79', Shakir B. ↓, Jassem S. ↑,
80', Lucas Esquerdinha 🟨,
81+3', Lajami A. ↓, Al Fatil M. ↑,
89', Mohammed Dawood ↓, Zero A. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Al-Nassr is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Nassr could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al-Nassr is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Al-Shorta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Shorta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shorta Damascus
Syrian Cup
19.02.24	Al-Shorta - Al-Fotuwa	0:3 ✺
Arab Club Championship Cup
09.08.23	Al-Shorta - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Al-Sadd - Al-Shorta	2:4 ✺
02.08.23	Al-Shorta - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:2 ✺
30.07.23	Al-Shorta - Espérance ST	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWLT
- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
13.09.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:1 ✺
27.08.24	Al-Feiha - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:4 ✺
22.08.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Raed	1:1 ✺
Saudi Super Cup
17.08.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal	1:4 ✺
14.08.24	Al-Taawoun - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Arab Club Championship Cup
09.08.23	Al-Shorta - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:1

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