Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 11

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Azadi Stadium (Tehran)


	Esteghlal		Foolad Khuzestan

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.2	5.15
	1.72	3.04	5.22
	2.05	3.00	3.90	Watch
	1.68	3.14	5.4	Watch
	1.62	3.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.7)	3.12 ↑ (2.8)	5.03 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal
52.3%

Draw
29.5%

Foolad Khuzestan
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

31.7%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

29.3%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Foolad Khuzestan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foolad Khuzestan than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Esteghlal - Foolad Khuzestan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Esteghlal (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Esteghlal will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Adan A. (G) 10. Rezaeian R. 19. Fallah S. 55. Gholami A. 27. Goudarzi H. 8. Razzaghinia A. 22. Ndong D. 70. Asani J. 88. Ahmadi M. 20. Koushki A. 11. Saharkhizan S.	81. Lak H. (G) 26. Kazemi M. . Qureshi M. 6. Nemati A. 2. Razzaghpour A. 20. Mazraeh Y. 8. Asadbeigi S. 10. Moridi S. 3. Ansari S. 9. Mahrooghi E. 19. Blanco G.
Substitutes
5. Ashurmatov R. 7. Azadi M. R. 4. Cheshmi R. 12. Djenepo M. 80. Eslami M. 76. Farabbasi H. (G) 87. Gholizadeh E. 2. Hardani S. 33. Jalali A. 15. Zamani A. 72. Zoleikhaei A.	14. Abbasi M. 70. Abolfazlzadeh A. 23. Amirkhani A. 29. Bagheri A. 68. Forouzan M. (G) 77. Keshavarzi M. 18. Muawi A. 5. Saedi A. 99. Sangargir H. 17. Sarabadani A. M. 11. Soleimani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Ahmadi M. ↓, Gholizadeh E. ↑,
26', Gholami A. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Saharkhizan S. ⚽, Goudarzi H. (A),
39', Mahrooghi E. 🟨,
44', Nemati A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
87', Moridi S. 🟥,
90+2', Saharkhizan S. ↓, Azadi M. R. ↑,
90+2', Gholizadeh E. ↓, Djenepo M. ↑,
90+2', Koushki A. ↓, Cheshmi R. ↑,
90+2', Asani J. ↓, Eslami M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 3.

Esteghlal is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Foolad has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Esteghlal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Esteghlal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Esteghlal won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 0.8:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal FC
AFC Champions League 2
26.11.25	Esteghlal - Al Wasl	1:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
21.11.25	Esteghlal - Padyab Khalkhal	2:1 ET ✺
AFC Champions League 2
05.11.25	Al-Wehdat - Esteghlal	1:1 ✺
Iran Pro League
31.10.25	Esteghlal - Aluminium Arak	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Fajr Sepasi - Esteghlal	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTWW
- Foolad Khuzestan FC
Iran Hazfi Cup
22.11.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Foolad Khuzestan	0:3 ✺
Iran Pro League
07.11.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Paykan	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Foolad Khuzestan	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Zob Ahan - Foolad Khuzestan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
10.04.25	Esteghlal - Foolad Khuzestan	0:1
07.12.24	Foolad Khuzestan - Esteghlal	0:2
13.05.24	Esteghlal - Foolad Khuzestan	1:0
09.12.23	Foolad Khuzestan - Esteghlal	0:0
12.03.23	Foolad Khuzestan - Esteghlal	0:2
07.10.22	Esteghlal - Foolad Khuzestan	1:1
14.05.22	Foolad Khuzestan - Esteghlal	1:2

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